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HOME›TEAMS›GEORGIA STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SUN BELT|SHAWN ELLIOTT|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
GEORGIA STATE121 FPISBC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#950 BC / 24
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs3.1-8.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.6
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HKENNESAW STATE—W 24-203———NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8ANC STATE—L 7-41717474-70BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AMEMPHIS—L 22-59477373-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HWESTERN MICHIGAN—L 15-34392020-16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HUL MONROE—W 46-14121919-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4ATROY—L 20-37185353-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AARKANSAS STATE—L 35-51384545-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HCOASTAL CAROLINA—L 34-3791111-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HTEXAS STATE—L 30-4091212-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ALOUISIANA—L 22-36262828-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AAPP STATE—L 17-45207878-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 14-35103333-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET2NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
DAN ELLINGTONQB SERET
★3—00%——
11
AARON WINCHESTERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
JACK WALKERQB JURET
★3—00%——
2
JAQUEZ PARKSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
SWIFT LYLEQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
NICK IANNONEQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET27NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DESTIN COATESRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
DAWSON HILLRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
26
TUCKER GREGGRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
DARIUS STUBBSRB JURET
★3—00%——
28
SETH PAIGERB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
38
DEMARCUS KIRKRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
TAZ BATEMANRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TRA BARNETTRB SERET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
ROGER CARTERTE SERET
★3—00%——
TERRANCE DIXONWR SENO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
15
SAM PINCKNEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
CHRISTIAN OWENSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
CAMRIN KNIGHTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
PENNY HARTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
14
DEVIN GENTRYWR SERET
★2—00%——
6
JONATHAN IFEDIWR SERET
★2—00%——
7
TAMIR JONESWR SORET
★3—00%——
82
DIONDRE CHAMPAIGNEWR JURET
★3—00%——
5
CORNELIUS MCCOYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
KERRYON RICHARDSONWR JURET
★2—00%——
86
BRYSON DUCKWORTHTE JURET
★2—00%——
80
MATLIN MARSHALLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JAWAN NOBLESWR JURET
★2—00%——
87
DONAVON GRIERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
22
JABARI AIKENWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
MICHAEL KOUASSITE —RET
UNR—00%——
87
CAMRYN JOHNSONWR —RET
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DESTIN COATESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SWIFT LYLEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
SAMUEL OSHODIHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SAM PINCKNEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AKEEM SMITHHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
COURTNEY WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BLAKE CARROLLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CORNELIUS MCCOYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
QUAVIAN WHITEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DESPELADO ALEXANDREHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RONALD PETERKINTHE CITADELSUNRUNR
ARI WERTSEAST TENNESSEE STATETEUNRUNR
BRYAN WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDSUNR—
KYLER NEALNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
MACKENDY CHERIDORNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
TREY PAYNENOT LISTEDLBUNR—
SEBASTIAN WILLERNOT LISTEDOTUNR—
JACOB NESMITHNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CONNER MANNINGNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
CHANDON SULLIVANNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#95NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8031COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST33% BACK33th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG33% BACK33th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE