SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›GEORGIA STATE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
SUN BELT|DELL MCGEE|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
GEORGIA STATE107 FPISBC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
34FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
56%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
44%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1200 BC / 11
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs3.6-8.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-10.0
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE26
PERFORMANCE26
TALENT38
CONTINUITY56
DEFENSE12
PERFORMANCE12
TALENT45
CONTINUITY44
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
46MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AGEORGIA TECH—L 12-35675151-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HCHATTANOOGA—W 24-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14HVANDERBILT—W 36-32646262-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 21-38244444-36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HOLD DOMINION—L 14-2172929-21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 17AMARSHALL—L 20-35425757-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AAPP STATE—L 26-33392626-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AUCONN—L 27-34275050-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AJAMES MADISON—L 7-38137070-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HARKANSAS STATE—L 20-27382323-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ATEXAS STATE—W 52-44286565-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HCOASTAL CAROLINA—L 27-48342727-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB49TAL35PERF49RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
CHRISTIAN VEILLEUXQB SEPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★3★37862%-18HELD
7
ZACH GIBSONQB SEPORTAL · GEORGIA TECH
★3★37036%+6HELD
6
KYLE LOWEQB SONO SNAPS
★3★3182%—HELD
BRAYLEN RAGLANDQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
15
RODGE WALDROPQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB62TAL39PERF62RET43ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 20 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
FREDDIE BROCK IVRB SERET
★3—9143%+28—
22
MICHEL DUKESRB SENO SNAPS
★3★38738%+13HELD
9
JORDAN FORDRB JUPORTAL · TULSA
★3★3568%-41HELD
3
SY'VEON WILKERSONRB SEPORTAL · COLORADO
★3★3455%-48HELD
4
CJ BEASLEYRB SEPORTAL · COASTAL CAROLINA
★3★3394%+19HELD
0
DENNIS MURRAY JR.RB SONO SNAPS
★3—292%——
28
PHOENIX MOSSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—50%——
26
AARON DAVISRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE58TAL66PERF47RET53ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 42 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
TED HURSTWR SEPORTAL · VALDOSTA STATE
UNR★49831%+30EMERGED
9
DORIAN FLEMINGTE JURET
★3★39779%+20HELD
5
PETEY TUCKERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★38721%-20EMERGED
8
JA'CYAIS CREDLEWR SERET
★3★37816%+4HELD
10
DJ RILESWR SEPORTAL · MIDDLE TENNESSEE
★3★37715%-35HELD
6
RYKEM LANEYWR SERET
UNR★3627%-24EMERGED
0
TALIQUE WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—617%+23—
81
AVION MCBRIDETE SERET
★3—5413%——
7
AHMON GREENTE SERET
★3★3437%-30HELD
5
CADARRIUS THOMPSONWR SERET
★2—311%-36—
80
AVERY MCFADDENWR FRTRUE FR
★3★3201%—HELD
87
AUSTIN MCGEEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—180%——
88
LANE WADLETE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3151%—HELD
13
DARIUS BUSHWR JURET
★3★270%—FELL
86
KERON MILTONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
0
PETER KIKWATAWR JURET
★3★300%-50HELD
83
LAMARCUS BRANDWR JURET
UNR—00%-61—
42
ETHAN GARRETTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
20
MICAH WHITEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
TARANCE BREEDLOVEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
36
CHRIS MANUELTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
MYLES ABERNATHYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
BREYLEN GILBERTTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
AMARI POWELLWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL44TAL22PERF44RET73n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL32TAL38PERF32RET51n=7 · 7 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB44TAL44PERF44RET53n=8 · 11 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸DB60TAL49PERF60RET35n=8 · 8 METRICS · 44 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS8 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEUCE WALKERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LANE WADLEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DEITY DEABLOHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
AUSTIN MCGEEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
AVERY MCFADDENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DAMAINE WILSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DOMINIC JOHNSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
BRENT WASHINGTONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN17 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DANIEL HEIMULIARIZONALB★4★3
KENYATTA WATSON IIGEORGIA TECHCB★4★3
SY'VEON WILKERSONCOLORADORB★3★3
CHRISTIAN VEILLEUXPITTSBURGHQB★3★3
JYRON GILMORETENNESSEE TECHCBUNR★3
JA'MARIC MORRISUCFCBUNR★3
WILL LARKINSINDIANAIOL★3★3
DJ RILESMIDDLE TENNESSEEQB★3★3
KD MCDANIELUCFEDGE★3★3
BISHOP THOMASCOLORADODL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT39 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MONTAVIOUS CUNNINGHAMVIRGINIA TECHOL★3★3
JAVON DENISMEMPHISDL★2★3
BRYQUICE BROWNBOSTON COLLEGECB★3★3
MARCUS CARROLLMISSOURIRB★3★3
ROBERT LEWISAUBURNWR★3★3
TYLON DUNLAPKENNESAW STATEDL★3★3
JACARI CARTERUALBANYWRUNRUNR
JALEN TATEFURMANS★3★3
COREY WARRENSAMFORDDT★3★3
RICARDO WILLIAMS JR.OLD DOMINIONDLUNRUNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES94%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS54%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#120NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 11 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8281COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
3134 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST14% BACK14th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG14% BACK14th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR73%73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST35%35th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE