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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|GEOFF COLLINS|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
GEORGIA TECH82 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
77FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#473 BC / 16
BC RATIO
20%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs3.7-8.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-9.5
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—L 21-221826260BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HKENNESAW STATE—W 45-171———NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18ACLEMSON#14L 8-14989595-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HNORTH CAROLINA—W 45-22885555-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HPITTSBURGH#13L 21-52749494-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ADUKE—W 31-27571313+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AVIRGINIA—L 40-48625858-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HVIRGINIA TECH—L 17-26724747-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AMIAMI—L 30-33917676-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HBOSTON COLLEGE—L 30-41644343-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ANOTRE DAME#8L 0-55929292-66BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HGEORGIA#1L 0-4599100100-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
TRAD BEATTYQB SOPORTAL · TEMPLE
★3★300%—HELD
1
JORDAN YATESQB JURET
★3—00%——
2
JEFF SIMSQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
12
CHAYDEN PEERYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
BRODY RHODESQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
JORDAN MASONRB JURET
★3—00%——
3
AZENDE REYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
BRUCE JORDAN-SWILLINGRB SERET
★4—00%——
4
DONTAE SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
8
JAM GRIFFINRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
1
JAHMYR GIBBSRB JURET
★4—00%——
19
TONY AMERSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
22
DEVIN ELLISONRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
1
JAMAL HAYNESRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
37
COLIN HEMINGWAYRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
5
DAYLON GORDONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
ENGLAN WILLIAMSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
NATE MCCOLLUMWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
9
AVERY BOYDWR SERET
★3—00%——
17
KALANI NORRISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
83
DYLAN DEVENEYTE JURET
★3—00%——
2
DYLAN LEONARDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
ADONICAS SANDERSWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
KYRIC MCGOWANWR SEPORTAL · NORTHWESTERN
★3★300%—HELD
7
MALACHI CARTERWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
PEJE' HARRISTE JURET
★3—00%——
85
BILLY WARDTE JURET
★3—00%——
9
RYAN KINGWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
MALIK RUTHERFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
36
JOSEPH MACRINATE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
MARQUEZ EZZARDWR JURET
★4—00%——
7
BRYCE GOWDYWR FRRET
★4—00%——
5
JAMES BLACKSTRAINWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
8
JAYDEN THOMASWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
81
ZACH OWENSWR FRRET
★3—00%——
84
CHRIS MILLERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
87
BEN WILHELMTE SORET
UNR—00%——
89
BEN POSTMATE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
3
LEO BLACKBURNWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
86
LUKE MOSELEYWR SORET
★3—00%——
44
ANTHONY MINELLATE SORET
UNR—00%——
38
WILLIAM MARSHALLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
24
TRENT DAVISWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
CARSON HAROFWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES BLACKSTRAINHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
LEO BLACKBURNHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
TRENILYAS TATUMHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KALEB EDWARDSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
WESTON FRANKLINHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
SIRAD BRYANTHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOSHUA ROBINSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
MALIK RUTHERFORDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CHAYDEN PEERYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JAKIAH LEFTWICHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEION WHITEOLD DOMINIONWDE★2★3
AYINDE ELEYMARYLANDILB★3★3
KENYATTA WATSON IITEXASCB★4★3
KEVIN HARRISALABAMAOLBUNR★3
MAKIUS SCOTTSOUTH CAROLINASDEUNR★3
NICK PENDLEYMISSISSIPPI STATEOGUNR★3
KYRIC MCGOWANNORTHWESTERNWR★3★3
TRAD BEATTYTEMPLEQB★3★3
BRENT CIMAGLIATENNESSEEK★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAHAZIEL LEEUL MONROEDT★2UNR
EMMANUEL JOHNSONCOASTAL CAROLINADL★3★3
ANTWAN OWENSJACKSON STATEDL★3★3
KALEB OLIVERWESTERN KENTUCKYDB★3★3
JUSTICE DINGLE IIKENTUCKYFB★3UNR
AHMAREAN BROWNSOUTH CAROLINAWR★3★3
JALEN CAMPNFL DRAFT R6WR★2—
PRESSLEY HARVIN IIINFL DRAFT R7P★3—
DAVID CURRYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CHICO BENNETT JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDE★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#47NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8678COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1019 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST90% BACK90th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG90% BACK90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE