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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
ACC|BRENT KEY|—RECORD7-6|CONF—
GEORGIA TECH51 FPIACC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
74FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
50%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
81%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#620 BC / 21
BC RATIO
22%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.2-5.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.7
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE86
PERFORMANCE86
TALENT68
CONTINUITY50
DEFENSE46
PERFORMANCE46
TALENT67
CONTINUITY81
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HLOUISVILLE#19L 34-39807575-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HSOUTH CAROLINA STATE—W 48-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16AOLE MISS—L 23-48849292-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AWAKE FOREST—W 30-16502828+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HBOWLING GREEN—L 27-38182929+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AMIAMI—W 23-20928080-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HBOSTON COLLEGE—L 23-38613838+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HNORTH CAROLINA—W 46-42887171-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AVIRGINIA—W 45-17532121+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ACLEMSON#20L 21-42978484-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HSYRACUSE—W 31-22504040+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HGEORGIA#4L 23-31999999-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 22AUCF—W 30-17625858-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB75TAL45PERF75RET2ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
HAYNES KINGQB SEPORTAL · TEXAS A&M
★4★39198%0FELL
8
ZACH PYRONQB JURET
★4★3212%-14FELL
16
BRODY RHODESQB JURET
UNR—00%——
9
AIDAN SEMOQB SORET
UNR—00%——
18
BEN GUTHRIEQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
COLSON BROWNQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB56TAL60PERF56RET26ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JAMAL HAYNESRB SERET
★3—9450%+28—
4
DONTAE SMITHRB SERET
★3—7726%+20—
22
TREY COOLEYRB SENO SNAPS
★4★37120%+8FELL
23
EVAN DICKENSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3363%-29HELD
5
DAYLON GORDONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CHAD ALEXANDERRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
23
JAMIE FELIXRB SORET
★3★300%-46HELD
39
ENGLAN WILLIAMSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE59TAL65PERF62RET51ROTATIONn=8 · 7 METRICS · 49 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DYLAN LEONARDTE SERET
UNR—8541%-19—
2
ERIC SINGLETON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3★48425%+33ROSE
8
MALIK RUTHERFORDWR SERET
★3★38325%+13HELD
81
LUKE BENSONTE SERET
★3—8036%+4—
12
DOMINICK BLAYLOCKWR JUPORTAL · GEORGIA
★4★38022%+21FELL
80
BRETT SEITHERTE SEPORTAL · GEORGIA
★3★36823%-17HELD
1
CHRISTIAN LEARYWR SEPORTAL · ALABAMA
★4★36613%+12FELL
9
AVERY BOYDWR SERET
★3—578%-47—
4
ABDUL JANNEH JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—484%——
7
CHASE LANEWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS A&M
★3★3443%-20HELD
82
JACKSON LONGTE SEPORTAL · SOUTH FLORIDA
★3★380%—HELD
44
ANTHONY MINELLATE SORET
UNR—80%——
85
BILLY WARDTE JURET
★3—80%——
3
BAILEY STOCKTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
JAMES BLACKSTRAINWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
24
TRENT DAVISWR JURET
★3—00%——
9
ZION TAYLORWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
LEO BLACKBURNWR SERET
★4★300%-45FELL
8
JUJU LEWISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
84
JOSH SEXTONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
47
JOSHUA RUDERTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
89
CHRIS ELKOWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL72TAL76PERF72RET68n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL46TAL58PERF46RET90n=10 · 8 METRICS · 59 OBS
▸LB52TAL65PERF52RET41n=5 · 10 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB53TAL75PERF53RET98n=8 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS13 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GABE FORTSONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
BEN GALLOWAYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JACOB CRUZHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
PATRICK SCREWS JR.HS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ETHAN MACKENNYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TAYE SEYMOREHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ZION TAYLORHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ERIC SINGLETON JR.HS RECRUITWR★3UNR
SHYMEIK JONESHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
EZRA ODINJORHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN12 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ABDUL JANNEHDUQUESNEWRUNR★3
CHRISTIAN LEARYALABAMAWR★4★3
ETINOSA REUBENCLEMSONDL★3★3
BRETT SEITHERGEORGIATE★3★3
DOMINICK BLAYLOCKGEORGIAWR★4★3
CHASE LANETEXAS A&MWR★3★3
TREVION COOLEYLOUISVILLERBUNR★3
JORDAN BROWNCHARLOTTEIOLUNR★3
BRAELEN OLIVERMINNESOTALB★3★3
ANDRE WHITE JR.TEXAS A&MLBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZAMARI WALTONOLE MISSCB★3★4
PAULA VAIPULUNORTH TEXASOL★3★3
NATE MCCOLLUMNORTH CAROLINAWR★4★3
AKELO STONEOLE MISSDL★3★4
JEFF SIMSNEBRASKAQB★4★3
DERRIK ALLENNORTH CAROLINADB★3★3
DYLAN MCDUFFIEKANSASRB★3★3
DEMETRIUS KNIGHT IICHARLOTTELB★3UNR
KALANI NORRISMIDDLE TENNESSEEWR★3★3
GREY CARROLLLIBERTYDE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES65%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS67%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#62NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8566COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1620 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST38% BACK38th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG38% BACK38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR68%68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST98%98th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE