SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›HOUSTON›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG 12|MAJOR APPLEWHITE|—RECORD7-4|CONF—
HOUSTON56 FPIB12 · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
58FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#690 BC / 18
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-4ACTUALvs6.8-4.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.4
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
40MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 9AARIZONA—W 19-16665454+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HRICE—W 38-32522+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HTEXAS TECH—L 24-27636060+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ATEMPLE—W 20-13434444+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HSMU—W 35-22453636+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14ATULSA—L 17-45401919+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HMEMPHIS#25L 38-42486868-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ASOUTH FLORIDA#21W 28-24567575-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HEAST CAROLINA—W 52-27451313+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ATULANE—L 17-20362626+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HNAVY—W 24-14324343+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET9NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
KYLE POSTMAQB —RET
UNR—00%——
10
KYLE ALLENQB —RET
UNR—00%——
1
D'ERIQ KINGQB SERET
★3—00%——
14
IKE OGBOGUQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
13
MASON MCCLENDONQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET87NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DUKE CATALONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
21
PATRICK CARRRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
JOSH BURRELLRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
DILLON BIRDENRB —RET
UNR—00%——
20
DAVION MITCHELLRB SORET
UNR—00%——
34
MULBAH CARRB SERET
★3—00%——
32
KEVRIN JUSTICERB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
CHANDLER SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
KALIQ KOKUMARB —RET
UNR—00%——
31
BLAKE HIRSCHRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
ALEX LESLIETE —RET
UNR—00%——
21
ELLIS JEFFERSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
JOHN LEDAYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
15
LINELL BONNERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
DEREK MCLEMOREWR —RET
UNR—00%——
82
ROMELLO BROOKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
STEVEN DUNBARWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
TERRY MARKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
KEITH CORBINWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
COURTNEY LARKWR SERET
★4—00%——
37
PAYTON PARDEEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
COLTON CERDAYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
5
MARQUEZ STEVENSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
33
KINTE HATTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
COLE MCGOWANWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
30
TIMON NOLANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
ANDREW SEGOVIAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
48
BO ALEXANDERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
36
BRYCE WASHINGTONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
KOBE IDUMWONYITE —RET
UNR—00%——
16
JOSHUA HANCOCKWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
MASON TOBOLATE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRYAN JONESHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JEREMY SINGLETONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AMAUD WILLIS-DALTONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
NOAH JONESHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
PARKER EICHENBERGERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DENNIS BARDWELLHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DEREK PARISHHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
BRYSON SMITHHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
ALEXANDER DUKEHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DAVID ANENIHHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT12 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRANDON WILSONNFL DRAFT R6CBUNR—
TYUS BOWSERNFL DRAFT R2OLBUNR—
HOWARD WILSONNFL DRAFT R4CBUNR—
CHANCE ALLENNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
B.J. SINGLETONNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
STEVEN TAYLORNOT LISTEDOLBUNR—
CAMERON MALVEAUXNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
GREG WARD JR.NOT LISTEDQBUNR—
TYLER MCCLOSKEYNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CHRIS JOHNSONNOT LISTEDTE★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#69NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8237COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST49% BACK49th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG49% BACK49th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR9%9th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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