SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›HOUSTON›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG 12|MAJOR APPLEWHITE|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
HOUSTON71 FPIB12 · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#730 BC / 21
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.0-4.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.0
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1ARICE—W 45-272411+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HARIZONA—W 45-18645656-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ATEXAS TECH—L 49-63587272-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HTEXAS SOUTHERN—W 70-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 4HTULSA—W 41-26221818+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AEAST CAROLINA—W 42-20391616+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ANAVY—W 49-36172222+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HSOUTH FLORIDA—W 57-36553636+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ASMU—L 31-45472929+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HTEMPLE—L 49-59455454-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HTULANE—W 48-17403131+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AMEMPHIS—L 31-52477373-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET34NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
QUINTEN DORMADYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
D'ERIQ KINGQB SERET
★3—00%——
3
CLAYTON TUNEQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
IKE OGBOGUQB SERET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET29NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
KEVRIN JUSTICERB JURET
UNR—00%——
19
JULON WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
PATRICK CARRRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
TERENCE WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
34
MULBAH CARRB SERET
★3—00%——
8
CHANDLER SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
29
KELAN WALKERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
JOSH BURRELLRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
RAELON SINGLETONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
ROMELLO BROOKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
27
HENRY THOMASWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
80
COLTON CERDAYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
17
TERRY MARKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
KEITH CORBINWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
37
PAYTON PARDEEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
36
JAMES HOMANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
COURTNEY LARKWR SERET
★4—00%——
33
KINTE HATTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
MARQUEZ STEVENSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
PARKER EICHENBERGERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
TRE'VON BRADLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
1
BRYSON SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
JEREMY SINGLETONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
PEYTON SAWYERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
CHRISTIAN TRAHANTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
COLE MCGOWANWR SERET
★2—00%——
30
TIMON NOLANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
SHANE CREAMERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
ANDREW SEGOVIAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
48
BO ALEXANDERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
36
BRYCE WASHINGTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
41
OSBY MITCHELL IIIWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
QUAVON BECKFORDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
SID TURNBULL-FRAZIERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
PAYTON HASLAMTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JULON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KELAN WALKERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
WILLIE SMITHHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
CLAYTON TUNEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JA'KORI MORGANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DEKALEN GOODSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TAHJ BROWNHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
DONAVAN MUTINHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
GARRISON VAUGHNHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHRISTIAN TRAHANHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MATTHEW ADAMSNFL DRAFT R7LBUNR—
COLLIN WILDERELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
ALEX LESLIENOT LISTEDTEUNR—
D'JUAN HINESNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
NICK THURMANNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
NOMLUIS FRUGENOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ELLIS JEFFERSONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
REGGIE CHEVISNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JOHN LEDAYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
BRANDON MCDOWELLNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#73NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8280COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST32% BACK32th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG32% BACK32th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR34%34th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE