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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›HOUSTON›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG 12|DANA HOLGORSEN|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
HOUSTON#17 AP 37 FPIB12 · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
53FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#810 BC / 10
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-2ACTUALvs10.3-2.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+16.3
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
38MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HTEXAS TECH—L 21-38587070+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11ARICE—W 44-72833+74BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HGRAMBLING—W 45-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25HNAVY—W 28-2072222+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1ATULSA—W 45-10395353+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ATULANE—W 40-22373232+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HEAST CAROLINA—W 31-24454040+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HSMU—W 44-37556666+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 54-42471616+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ATEMPLE—W 37-84377+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HMEMPHIS—W 31-13534343+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AUCONN—W 45-171511+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4ACINCINNATI#4L 20-35639797-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET97NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
CLAYTON TUNEQB SERET
★3—00%——
14
IKE OGBOGUQB SERET
★2—00%——
19
HOLMAN EDWARDSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
SOFIAN MASSOUDQB SORET
★3—00%——
18
MADDOX KOPPQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
35
JAMEL STARKSRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
34
MULBAH CARRB SERET
★3—00%——
8
CHANDLER SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
4
TA'ZHAWN HENRYRB SERET
★3—00%——
22
ALTON MCCASKILLRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
29
KELAN WALKERRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
STACY SNEEDRB SERET
★3—00%——
26
JAMES FULLBRIGHT IIIRB SORET
UNR—00%——
37
TERRELL BROWNRB FRRET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KESEAN CARTERWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS TECH
★3★300%—HELD
30
JAKE HERSLOWWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
NATHANIEL DELLWR JURET
★2—00%——
89
PARKER EICHENBERGERTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
COLE MCGOWANWR SERET
★2—00%——
88
SHANE CREAMERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
SETH GREENTE SEPORTAL · MINNESOTA
★3★300%—HELD
1
JEREMY SINGLETONWR SEPORTAL · HOUSTON
★3★300%—HELD
80
JA'KORI MORGANWR JURET
★3—00%——
83
PEYTON SAWYERWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
CHRISTIAN TRAHANTE SERET
★3—00%——
15
JAYLEN ERWINWR SEPORTAL · UCLA
UNR★300%—EMERGED
1
BRYSON SMITHWR JURET
★3—00%——
49
DEKALEN GOODSONTE JURET
★3—00%——
9
K'ANDRE STREETWR JURET
★3—00%——
15
DARIUS EDMONDSWR FRRET
★3—00%——
82
DYLAN ROBINSONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
19
C.J. GUIDRYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
17
KHIYON WAFERWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
6
RAYLEN SHARPEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
33
CASH WALKERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
85
MATT BYRNESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ALTON MCCASKILLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MARK WILSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MADDOX KOPPHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
GARFIELD LAWRENCEHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CARLTON GUIDRYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CARSON WALKERHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JALEN GARNERHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
JALEN EMERYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JOSH ATKINSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ALMARION CRIMHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'LYNN POLKTEXAS TECHWR★3★3
LATRELL BANKSTONIOWA STATEDTUNR★3
KODY RUSSEYLOUISIANA TECHIOL★2★3
TRE WILLIAMSMISSOURIWDEUNR★3
JAYLEN ERWINUCLAWRUNR★3
ALEX HOGANTEXAS TECHCB★3★3
SETH GREENMINNESOTAWR★3★3
KESEAN CARTERTEXAS TECHWR★3★3
JUSTIN BEADLESVIRGINIA TECHEDGE★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT11 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRE'VON BRADLEYUTSAWR★3★3
KEITH CORBINJACKSON STATEWR★3★3
MARQUEZ STEVENSONNFL DRAFT R6WR★3—
GRANT STUARDNFL DRAFT R7LB★2—
PAYTON TURNERNFL DRAFT R1DL★2—
KYLE PORTERELIGIBILITY UPRB★4—
TAURES PAYNEELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
IKE ONWUASOANYAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
JORDAN MOORENOT LISTEDDB★4—
ZAMAR KIRVENNOT LISTEDLB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#81NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8557COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
911 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE