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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ILLINOIS›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG TEN|LOVIE SMITH|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
ILLINOIS104 FPIB1G · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
52FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#460 BC / 27
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-10ACTUALvs1.9-10.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-16.1
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBALL STATE—W 24-211455+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 20-7203131-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ASOUTH FLORIDA#21L 23-47567575-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HNEBRASKA—L 6-28795252-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AIOWA—L 16-45647373-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HRUTGERS—L 24-35622727-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AMINNESOTA—L 17-24544444-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HWISCONSIN#7L 10-24739898-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4APURDUE—L 10-29486363-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HINDIANA—L 14-24557575-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AOHIO STATE#5L 14-52999999-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HNORTHWESTERN#17L 7-42707979-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET35NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CHAYCE CROUCHQB —RET
UNR—00%——
10
CAM THOMASQB SORET
★2—00%——
3
JEFF GEORGE JR.QB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
CAM MILLERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
12
CHARLIE REINKEMEYERQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
CONNOR KELLYQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
JEFF GEORGE, JR.QB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET75NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
DRE BROWNRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
REGGIE CORBINRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
KENDRICK FOSTERRB —RET
UNR—00%——
21
RA'VON BONNERRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
26
MIKE EPSTEINRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
JOSH PARKERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
BRANDON ROBERTSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
30
JULIAN HYLTONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
39
NATHAN ECHARDTE —RET
UNR—00%——
13
CALEB REAMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JUSTICE WILLIAMSTE SERET
★3—00%——
15
TRENARD DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
BOBBY WALKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
12
CHRIS JAMESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
45
HENRY MCGREWTE —RET
UNR—00%——
11
MALIK TURNERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
8
DOMINIC THIEMANWR —RET
★3—00%——
19
LOU DORSEYTE SORET
UNR—00%——
18
MIKE DUDEKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
36
AUSTIN ROBERTSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
RICKY SMALLINGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
CARMONI GREENWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
42
MICHAEL MARCHESETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
SAM MAYSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
GRIFFIN PALMERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
DOMINIC STAMPLEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
JORDAN ROBERTSWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
SHAWN MCPARTLANDWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
WILLIAM DUPONTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
BRANDON JONESTE —RET
★3—00%——
37
ZAC HOLMANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RICKY SMALLINGHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KENDRICK GREENHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
LARRY BOYDHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
OWEN CARNEYHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
CARMONI GREENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LERE OLADIPOHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
TONY ADAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KENDALL SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LOU DORSEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
MIKE EPSTEINHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DARWYN KELLYCENTRAL MICHIGANDBUNRUNR
KE'SHAWN VAUGHNELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
TRE NATIONNOT LISTEDRB★3—
CALEB DAYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DILLAN CAZLEYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
D.J. TAYLORNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DARIUS MOSELYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
TYLER WHITENOT LISTEDTEUNR—
DAWUANE SMOOTNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
CHUNKY CLEMENTSNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#46NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8374COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR35%35th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE