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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGEPRESEASON · NO CHARTED PLAY
BIG TEN|KIRK FERENTZ|—RECORD2-0|CONF—
IOWA#21 AP 32 FPIB1G · 2026 SEASON
TALENT
69FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
84%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
6%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#268 BC / 19
BC RATIO
20%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2026 · FULL SEASON
No scoring record for this season yet, so there is nothing to compare the win-loss record against.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT57
CONTINUITY84
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT71
CONTINUITY6
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE2 PLAYED · 10 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
33MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
70MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
+37REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 2PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 5HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 40-0999+73BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 12HIOWA STATE—W 16-13515757+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HNORTHERN IOWA—UPCOMING————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 26AMICHIGAN—UPCOMING9382820HARDEST REMAINING TIER
5OCT 3HOHIO STATE#1UPCOMING979999-17HARDEST REMAINING TIER
6OCT 9AWASHINGTON#19UPCOMING837777+5HARDEST REMAINING TIER
8OCT 24AMINNESOTA—UPCOMING716060+22STILL TO COME
9OCT 31HWISCONSIN—UPCOMING795353+29STILL TO COME
10NOV 7ANORTHWESTERN—UPCOMING577070+12HARDEST REMAINING TIER
11NOV 14HPURDUE—UPCOMING614545+37STILL TO COME
12NOV 21AILLINOIS—UPCOMING646666+16STILL TO COME
13NOV 27HNEBRASKA—UPCOMING858181+1HARDEST REMAINING TIER
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB62TAL54PERF62RET90ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
HANK BROWNQB SERET
★3★35651%+17HELD
10
JEREMY HECKLINSKIQB JURET
★3★34539%—HELD
3
JIMMY SULLIVANQB SORET
★3—1710%——
4
TRADON BESSINGERQB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
16
RYAN FITZGERALDQB SORET
★3—00%——
▾RB54TAL63PERF54RET90ROTATIONn=6 · 9 METRICS · 35 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
28
KAMARI MOULTONRB SERET
★3—8237%+11—
5
NATHAN MCNEILRB SORET
★3—7633%-45—
26
XAVIER WILLIAMSRB JURET
★3—5118%+2—
22
BRAEDEN JACKSONRB SORET
★3—136%——
15
O'LONTAE DEANRB SORET
★3—64%——
23
BREVIN DOLLRB JURET
★3—02%——
21
L.J. PHILLIPS JR.RB SEPORTAL · SOUTH DAKOTA
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾WR/TE61TAL55PERF61RET61ROTATIONn=16 · 7 METRICS · 62 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
TONY DIAZWR JUPORTAL · TEXAS-RIO GRANDE VALLEY
UNR★38727%—EMERGED
81
DJ VONNAHMETE JURET
★2—8628%+45—
87
ADDISON OSTRENGATE SERET
★3—8225%-21—
85
THOMAS MEYERTE SORET
★4—7923%——
8
EVAN JAMESWR SOPORTAL · FURMAN
★3★37520%—HELD
0
JARRIETT BUIEWR JURET
★3—7520%-51—
2
REECE VANDER ZEEWR JURET
★3—6717%+34—
7
DAYTON HOWARDWR SERET
★3—449%+33—
80
MICHAEL BURTTE JURET
★3—339%——
48
ZACH ORTWERTHTE SERET
★3—318%+8—
19
MASON WOODSTE SORET
★3—185%——
82
DYLAN STECKERTE SORET
★3—92%——
11
BRODY SCHAFFERWR FRTRUE FR
★3—92%——
1
KJ PARKERWR JURET
★3—92%——
86
ELI JOHNSONTE SORET
★3—01%——
18
LUKE BREWERTE FRTRUE FR
★3—01%——
17
ALEX EICHMANNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
DIONDRE SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
88
LANCE BEEGHLEYWR JUPORTAL · SMU
★3★300%—HELD
6
XAVIER STINSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
83
JACKSON NAEVEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
84
APOLLO PAYNEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
ISAIAH OLIVERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL72TAL67PERF72RET88n=13 · 2 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DL54TAL71PERF54RET74n=16 · 7 METRICS · 86 OBS
▸LB51TAL67PERF51RET73n=10 · 11 METRICS · 56 OBS
▸DB50TAL63PERF50RET52n=11 · 5 METRICS · 48 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRADON BESSINGERHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
DARION JONESHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JULIAN MANSONHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
CARSON NIELSENHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KASEN THOMASHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
HUDSON PARLIAMENTHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
GENE RIORDANHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
MARCELLO VITTIHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
BILLY WEIVODAHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
LUKE BREWERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN7 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LANCE INGOLDNORTHERN ILLINOISEDGE★3★3
EMMANUEL OLAGBAJUNORTH DAKOTADLUNR★3
ANTHONY HAWKINSVILLANOVAS★2★3
CODY HADDADOHIO STATES★3★3
KAHMARI BROWNELONEDGEUNR★3
TYLER BROWNJAMES MADISONSUNR★3
TONY DIAZTEXAS-RIO GRANDE VALLEYWRUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT28 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KOEN ENTRINGERLOUISVILLEDB★3★3
BRIAN ALLEN JR.VANDERBILTEDGE★3★4
JAZIUN PATTERSONMICHIGAN STATERB★3★3
TJ WASHINGTON JR.NEW MEXICO STATERB★3★3
KAEL KOLARIKSOUTH DAKOTADBUNRUNR
LOGAN JONESNFL DRAFT R2OL★4—
KARSON SHARARNFL DRAFT R6LB★3—
GENNINGS DUNKERNFL DRAFT R3OL★3—
BEAU STEPHENSNFL DRAFT R5OL★4—
TJ HALLNFL DRAFT R7DB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES57%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS68%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#26NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
8OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8904COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
158 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR88%88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR90%90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST52%52th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE