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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›ILLINOIS›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|LOVIE SMITH|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
ILLINOIS65 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
74FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#533 BC / 17
BC RATIO
15%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.5-5.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
51MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HAKRON—W 42-31011+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7AUCONN—W 31-232833+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 31-34122222+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HNEBRASKA—L 38-42835959-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AMINNESOTA#10L 17-40679191-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HMICHIGAN#18L 25-42939393-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HWISCONSIN#11W 24-23779292-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26APURDUE—W 24-6645151+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HRUTGERS—W 38-10581010+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AMICHIGAN STATE—W 37-34786969-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AIOWA#15L 10-19698585-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HNORTHWESTERN—L 10-29653030+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET2NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
BRANDON PETERSQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
MATT ROBINSONQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
16
CAM MILLERQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
DRE BROWNRB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
REGGIE CORBINRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
RA'VON BONNERRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
20
KENYON SIMSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
26
MIKE EPSTEINRB SERET
★3—00%——
29
JAKARI NORWOODRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
CHASE BROWNRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
23
CONNER LILLIGRB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
NICK FEDANZORB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
CASEY WASHINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
CALEB REAMSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JUSTICE WILLIAMSTE SERET
★3—00%——
15
TRENARD DAVISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
DOMINIC STAMPLEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
GRIFFIN PALMERTE JURET
★3—00%——
4
RICKY SMALLINGWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
JOSH IMATORBHEBHEWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
24
KYRON CUMBYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
TREVON SIDNEYWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
80
DONNY NAVARRO IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JORDAN HOLMESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
42
MICHAEL MARCHESETE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CARLOS SANDYWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
DANIEL BARKERTE 5TRET
★3—00%——
1
ISAIAH WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
15
DALEVON CAMPBELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
BOBBY WALKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
EDWIN CARTERWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
82
LUKE FORDTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
GRIFFIN MOORETE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
36
BEN SCHULTZTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARQUEZ BEASONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ISAIAH WILLIAMSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
SHAMMOND COOPERHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
MOSES OKPALAHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
KEITH RANDOLPH JR.HS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
SETH COLEMANHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
KYRON CUMBYHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
DALEVON CAMPBELLHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSEPH THOMPSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TARIQUE BARNESHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM WATKINSVANDERBILTDBUNRUNR
JIMMY MARCHESERICHMONDLBUNRUNR
CARMONI GREENLAMARWR★3UNR
NICK ALLEGRETTINFL DRAFT R7OLUNR—
RON HARDGE IIIELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
JACOB HOLLINSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
BENNETT WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
AJ BUSHELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
MIKE DUDEKELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
AUSTIN ROBERTSELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#53NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8646COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
16TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
2
2
6
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-0.3 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +9 W
IMPROVED11 OF 16
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST46% BACK46th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG46% BACK46th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE