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HOME›TEAMS›ILLINOIS›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG TEN|LOVIE SMITH|—RECORD2-6|CONF—
ILLINOIS81 FPIB1G · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
72FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#870 BC / 14
BC RATIO
14%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-6ACTUALvs1.7-6.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-14.8
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE8 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
72MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 23AWISCONSIN—L 7-45779898-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HPURDUE—L 24-31716767-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HMINNESOTA—L 14-41576464-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14ARUTGERS—W 23-20551717+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21ANEBRASKA—W 41-23827474-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HIOWA#16L 21-35699191-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12ANORTHWESTERN#10L 10-28677676-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19APENN STATE—L 21-56938888-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
BRANDON PETERSQB SERET
★4—00%——
6
MATT ROBINSONQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET7NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
REGGIE LOVE IIIRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
CONNER LILLIGRB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
MIKE EPSTEINRB SERET
★3—00%——
29
JAKARI NORWOODRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
CHASE BROWNRB JURET
★2—00%——
24
NICK FEDANZORB JURET
★3—00%——
21
RA'VON BONNERRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
20
KENYON SIMSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
CASEY WASHINGTONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
22
DEUCE SPANNWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
89
TIP REIMANTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
DANIEL IMATORBHEBHETE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
82
LUKE FORDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JOSH IMATORBHEBHEWR SERET
★4—00%——
24
KYRON CUMBYWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
DONNY NAVARRO IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
42
MICHAEL MARCHESETE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CARLOS SANDYWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
DANIEL BARKERTE 5TRET
★3—00%——
7
BRIAN HIGHTOWERWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
1
ISAIAH WILLIAMSWR JURET
★4—00%——
15
DALEVON CAMPBELLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
TREVON SIDNEYWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
10
DREW DANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
RICKY SMALLINGWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
EDWIN CARTERWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
84
JORDAN HOLMESWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
KHMARI THOMPSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
JAMES FRENCHIE JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
43
COOPER DAVISTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
13
GRIFFIN MOORETE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
36
BEN SCHULTZTE JURET
UNR—00%——
15
TY LINDENMANWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
JOSH BEETHAMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
JOHN BICKELWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
84
OWEN HICKEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
REGGIE LOVE IIIHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAMES FRENCHIEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TRE'VON RIGGINSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
COOPER DAVISHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
DEUCE SPANNHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JER'ZHAN NEWTONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
PHIFER GRIFFINHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KEVIN TYLERHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
QUINTON MCCOYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
BLAISE SPARKSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DRE BROWNELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
REGGIE CORBINELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
CALEB REAMSELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JUSTICE WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
JAMAL MILANELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
TRENARD DAVISELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
RICHIE PETITBONELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
DELE HARDINGELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
STANLEY GREENELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
TYMIR OLIVERELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#87NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8425COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE