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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›INDIANA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG TEN|TOM ALLEN|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
INDIANA49 FPIB1G · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
55FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#620 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.4-5.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.5
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HOHIO STATE#5L 21-49999999-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AVIRGINIA—W 34-17654646+29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 52-17281010+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30APENN STATE#8L 14-45869696-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HCHARLESTON SOUTHERN—W 27-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
7OCT 14HMICHIGAN—L 20-27959090-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AMICHIGAN STATE#15L 9-17788383-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AMARYLAND—L 39-42803333+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HWISCONSIN#7L 17-45739898-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AILLINOIS—W 24-14522424+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HRUTGERS—W 41-0622727+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25APURDUE—L 24-31486363+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET97NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
MIKE FIACABLEQB —RET
UNR—00%——
12
PEYTON RAMSEYQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
RICHARD LAGOWQB —RET
UNR—00%——
6
NICK TRONTIQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
JACK KELLAMSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
JOHNNY PABSTQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET29NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DEVONTE WILLIAMSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
20
COLE GESTRB SERET
★3—00%——
23
ALEX RODRIGUEZRB —RET
UNR—00%——
38
CONNOR THOMASRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
MORGAN ELLISONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
33
RICKY BROOKINSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
MIKE MAJETTERB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
CRAIG NELSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
31
TYLER NATEERB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
80
IAN THOMASTE —RET
UNR—00%——
12
ISAAC JAMESWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
6
DONAVAN HALEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
SIMMIE COBBS JR.WR —RET
UNR—00%——
25
LUKE TIMIANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
J-SHUN HARRIS IIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
RYAN WATERCUTTERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
WHOP PHILYORWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
TY FRYFOGLEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
TAYSIR MACKWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
NICK WESTBROOKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
AUSTIN DORRISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JUSTIN BERRYWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
BRYAN PARKERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
DOMINICK SIDARITE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
JONAH MORRISWR —RET
★3—00%——
89
PHIL BENKERWR —RET
★3—00%——
35
JACK MORANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
CHRIS GAJCAKWR —RET
UNR—00%——
16
DAVID FELTONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
SHAUN BONNERTE —RET
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUWAN BURGESSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRYANT FITZGERALDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MORGAN ELLISONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JUAN HARRISHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
CALEB JONESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MO BURNAMHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
LESHAUN MINORHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
PEYTON HENDERSHOTHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ALFRED BRYANTHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
RAHEEM LAYNEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LEON THORNTON IIIWESTERN ILLINOISWRUNRUNR
JACOB BAILEYNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
DAWSON FLETCHERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
RALPH GREEN IIINOT LISTEDDLUNR—
RICKY JONESNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
MITCHELL PAIGENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
PATRICK DOUGHERTYNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
ARTHUR JONESNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
ZANDER DIAMONTNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
DEVINE REDDINGNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#62NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8351COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST61% BACK61th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG61% BACK61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE