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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›INDIANA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|TOM ALLEN|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
INDIANA84 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
73FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#542 BC / 14
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-10ACTUALvs2.1-9.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-16.0
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
79MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AIOWA#23L 6-34708080-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HIDAHO—W 56-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18HCINCINNATI#4L 24-38639797-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 33-31478282-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2APENN STATE—L 0-24898686-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HMICHIGAN STATE#9L 15-20747979-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HOHIO STATE#6L 7-54999999-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AMARYLAND—L 35-38775454-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AMICHIGAN#3L 7-29909898-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HRUTGERS—L 3-38543333-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HMINNESOTA—L 14-35698787-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27APURDUE—L 7-44677373-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JACK TUTTLEQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
16
GRANT GREMELQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
9
MICHAEL PENIX JR.QB SERET
★3—00%——
5
DEXTER WILLIAMS IIQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
25
WILL JONTZQB JURET
★2—00%——
15
ZACH MERRILLQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET17NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DAVION ERVIN-POINDEXTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
STEPHEN CARRRB SEPORTAL · USC
★5★300%—FELL
28
CHRIS CHILDERSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
TIM BALDWIN JR.RB SORET
★3—00%——
10
DAVID ELLISRB SERET
★3—00%——
32
CHARLIE SPEGALRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
24
TRENT HOWLANDRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
33
DAVID HOLLOMANRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
SAMPSON JAMESRB JURET
★4—00%——
35
BRETT WETHINGTONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
CAMRON BUCKLEYWR SEPORTAL · TEXAS A&M
★3★300%—HELD
3
TY FRYFOGLEWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
PEYTON HENDERSHOTTE SERET
★3—00%——
7
D.J. MATTHEWS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
1
JACOLBY HEWITTWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
13
MILES MARSHALLWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
MATT BJORSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
7
VON SWINTONWR JURET
★3—00%——
89
AJ BARNERTE SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
82
CHRISTIAN HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
1
DONAVEN MCCULLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
13
MALACHI HOLT-BENNETTWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
85
KHAMERON TAYLORTE SERET
★2—00%——
12
DA'SHAUN BROWNWR SORET
★3—00%——
49
SAM DAUGSTRUPTE SORET
★3—00%——
85
MCCALL RAYWR JURET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
4
DAVID BAKERWR SORET
★3—00%——
19
JAQUEZ SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
39
RYAN BARNESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
JORDYN WILLIAMSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
45
TREY WALKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
AARON STEINFELDTTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DONAVEN MCCULLEYHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
JAQUEZ SMITHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MALACHI HOLT-BENNETTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
COOPER JONESHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
LARRY SMITH IIIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JORDYN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSHUA SALES JR.HS RECRUITOT★3UNR
AARON STEINFELDTHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TRENT HOWLANDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
MAURICE FREEMAN IIIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
STEPHEN CARRUSCRB★5★3
ZACH CARPENTERMICHIGANOG★3★3
RYDER ANDERSONOLE MISSWDE★3★3
JAREN HANDYAUBURNSDEUNR★4
CAMRON BUCKLEYTEXAS A&MWR★3★3
JAMES BOMBAMIAMI (OH)TE★3★3
DELAND MCCULLOUGH IIMIAMI (OH)S★3★3
WESTON KRAMERNORTHERN ILLINOISDT★2★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT6 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRAMAR REECETOWSONDL★3★3
JAMAR JOHNSONNFL DRAFT R5DB★3—
JOVAN SWANNELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
JEROME JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
WHOP PHILYORELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
STEVIE SCOTT IIINOT LISTEDRB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#54NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8695COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
810 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE