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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›IOWA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG TEN|KIRK FERENTZ|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
IOWA23 FPIB1G · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
64FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#413 BC / 30
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.4
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HWYOMING—W 24-383838+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9AIOWA STATE—W 44-41586666+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HNORTH TEXAS—W 31-14133333+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HPENN STATE#8L 19-21869696-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AMICHIGAN STATE#15L 10-17788383-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HILLINOIS—W 45-16522424+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ANORTHWESTERN#17L 10-17707979-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HMINNESOTA—W 17-10544444+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HOHIO STATE#5W 55-24999999-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AWISCONSIN#7L 14-38739898-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HPURDUE—L 15-24486363+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ANEBRASKA—W 56-14795252+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
NATE STANLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
TYLER WIEGERSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
17
RYAN SCHMIDTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
PEYTON MANSELLQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
NATE STANLEYQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET42NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
AKRUM WADLEYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
45
DRAKE KULICKFB —RET
UNR—00%——
20
JAMES BUTLERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
BRADY ROSSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
TOREN YOUNGRB JURET
★3—00%——
21
IVORY KELLY-MARTINRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
46
AUSTIN KELLYFB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
JOE LUDWIGFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
COLTON DINSDALEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
MEKHI SARGENTRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
KYSHAUN BRYANRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
LANE AKREFB —RET
UNR—00%——
26
MARCEL JOLYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
22
TOKS AKINRIBADERB —RET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
PETER PEKARTE —RET
UNR—00%——
89
MATT VANDEBERGWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
MATT QUARELLSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
DOMINIQUE DAFNEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
NOAH FANTTE JURET
★3—00%——
39
NATE WIETINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
42
SHAUN BEYERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
BRANDON SMITHWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
38
T.J. HOCKENSONTE SORET
★3—00%——
84
NICK EASLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
IHMIR SMITH-MARSETTEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
DREW COOKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
12
BRANDON SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
MAX COOPERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
KYLE GROENEWEGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
TOMMY KUJAWATE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
JON WISNIESKITE —RET
UNR—00%——
88
JACOB COONSTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
BRANDON BISHOPWR —RET
UNR—00%——
41
DREW THOMASWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
RYAN BOYLEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
82
ADRIAN FALCONERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
A.J. EPENESAHS RECRUITSDE★5UNR
TRISTAN WIRFSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
MARK KALLENBERGERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
DJIMON COLBERTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
PEYTON MANSELLHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
KYSHAUN BRYANHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LEVI DUWAHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
MATT HANKINSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BRANDON SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
IVORY KELLY-MARTINHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANGELO GARBUTTMISSOURI STATELBUNRUNR
C.J. BEATHARDNFL DRAFT R3QBUNR—
JALEEL JOHNSONNFL DRAFT R4DLUNR—
DESMOND KINGNFL DRAFT R5DBUNR—
GEORGE KITTLENFL DRAFT R5TEUNR—
RON COLUZZINOT LISTEDPUNR—
GREG MABINNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ANTHONY GAIRNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
FAITH EKAKITIENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
RILEY MCCARRONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#41NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 30 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8443COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST26% BACK26th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG26% BACK26th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE