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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›IOWA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|KIRK FERENTZ|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
IOWA#25 AP 16 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
70FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#390 BC / 26
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs9.6-2.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.1
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 33-7373232+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HIOWA STATE—W 13-3637171+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HNORTHERN IOWA—W 38-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 22HWISCONSIN—L 17-28758686-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AMINNESOTA—W 48-31666666+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13AINDIANA—W 42-16594747+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HMARYLAND—W 23-0835555+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27APENN STATE#17L 24-30928989-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3APURDUE—L 36-38496767+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HNORTHWESTERN#21L 10-14694848+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AILLINOIS—W 63-0582626+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HNEBRASKA—W 31-28826262+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
NATE STANLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
2
PEYTON MANSELLQB SERET
★3—00%——
7
SPENCER PETRASQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
RYAN SCHMIDTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
NATE STANLEYQB —RET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET16NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
36
BRADY ROSSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
TOREN YOUNGRB JURET
★3—00%——
3
TYRONE TRACY JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
MEKHI SARGENTRB SERET
★2—00%——
46
AUSTIN KELLYFB SERET
UNR—00%——
30
HENRY GEILRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
21
IVORY KELLY-MARTINRB SERET
★3—00%——
39
JOE LUDWIGFB JURET
UNR—00%——
41
COLTON DINSDALEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KORDELL STILLMUNKESRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
DOMINIQUE DAFNEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
87
NOAH FANTTE JURET
★3—00%——
39
NATE WIETINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
42
SHAUN BEYERTE SERET
★3—00%——
18
DREW COOKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
38
T.J. HOCKENSONTE SORET
★3—00%——
12
BRANDON SMITHWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
MAX COOPERWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
NICK EASLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
KYLE GROENEWEGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
IHMIR SMITH-MARSETTEWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
TOMMY KUJAWATE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
NICO RAGAINIWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
48
BRYCE SCHULTETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
DREW THOMASWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
BEN SUBBERTTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
NOAH FELDMANTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
BLAIR BROOKSWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
TYRONE TRACY, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
BRANDON SMITHWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DALLAS CRADDIETHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOHN WAGGONERHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
TYLER LINDERBAUMHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
SPENCER PETRASHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JULIUS BRENTSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DJ JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JEFFREY JENKINSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
TYRONE TRACY JR.HS RECRUITRB★3UNR
NOAH SHANNONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DILLON DOYLEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MATT QUARELLSSOUTHERN ILLINOISWRUNRUNR
TYLER WIEGERSEASTERN MICHIGANQBUNRUNR
JOSEY JEWELLNFL DRAFT R4?UNR—
JOSHUA JACKSONNFL DRAFT R2DBUNR—
JAMES DANIELSNFL DRAFT R2OLUNR—
EMMANUEL RUGAMBAELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
KEVIN WARDNOT LISTEDOLBUNR—
AKRUM WADLEYNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
BO BOWERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
BOONE MYERSNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#39NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8453COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE