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HOME›TEAMS›IOWA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|KIRK FERENTZ|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
IOWA#15 AP 15 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
69FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#413 BC / 22
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs9.6-2.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.7
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HMIAMI (OH)—W 38-14182222+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HRUTGERS—W 30-0581010+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14AIOWA STATE—W 18-17608282+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 48-3341616+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AMICHIGAN#18L 3-10939393-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HPENN STATE#9L 12-17939696-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HPURDUE—W 26-20645151+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ANORTHWESTERN—W 20-0653030+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AWISCONSIN#11L 22-24779292-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HMINNESOTA#10W 23-19679191-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HILLINOIS—W 19-10745454+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ANEBRASKA—W 27-24835959+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
NATE STANLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
7
SPENCER PETRASQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
17
RYAN SCHMIDTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
PEYTON MANSELLQB SERET
★3—00%——
19
CONNOR KAPISAKQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
ALEX PADILLAQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
NATE STANLEYQB —RET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET95NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
40
TURNER PALLISSARDFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
MONTE POTTEBAUMFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
BRADY ROSSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
TOREN YOUNGRB JURET
★3—00%——
3
TYRONE TRACY JR.RB SERET
★3—00%——
10
MEKHI SARGENTRB SERET
★2—00%——
21
IVORY KELLY-MARTINRB SERET
★3—00%——
15
TYLER GOODSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
39
JOE LUDWIGFB JURET
UNR—00%——
41
COLTON DINSDALEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
SAMSON EVANSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
13
SHADRICK BYRDRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
22
NOLAN DONALDRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
KEONTAE LUCKETTRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
32
JOHNNY PLEWAFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
39
NATE WIETINGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
42
SHAUN BEYERTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
OLIVER MARTINWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
12
BRANDON SMITHWR SERET
★3—00%——
19
MAX COOPERWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
IHMIR SMITH-MARSETTEWR SERET
★3—00%——
89
NICO RAGAINIWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
SAM LAPORTATE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
DREW COOKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
15
CHARLIE JONESWR YRNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
48
BRYCE SCHULTETE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
TOMMY KUJAWATE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
CALVIN LOCKETTWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
JACK COMBSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
DESMOND HUTSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
88
JOSIAH MIAMENTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
JACKSON RITTERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
ALEC KRITTAWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JAVON FOYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
JACKSON FRERICKSTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
TYRONE TRACY, JR.WR —RET
★3—00%——
12
BRANDON SMITHWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JESTIN JACOBSHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
EZRA MILLERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TYLER ENDRESHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
LOGAN LEEHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JUSTIN BRITTHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JACK CAMPBELLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
TYLER GOODSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DANE BELTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
SEBASTIAN CASTROHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOSIAH MIAMENHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DOMINIQUE DAFNEYINDIANA STATEWRUNRUNR
JOSH TURNERFLORIDA INTERNATIONALDB★3UNR
ANTHONY NELSONNFL DRAFT R4DEUNR—
NOAH FANTNFL DRAFT R1TE★3—
T.J. HOCKENSONNFL DRAFT R1TE★3—
AMANI HOOKERNFL DRAFT R4DB★3—
TREY CREAMERELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
JAKE GERVASEELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
PARKER HESSEELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
SAM BRINCKSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#41NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8602COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST81% BACK81th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG81% BACK81th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE