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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›IOWA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|KIRK FERENTZ|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
IOWA#23 AP 32 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
70FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#237 BC / 19
BC RATIO
17%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-3ACTUALvs8.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.8
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HINDIANA—W 34-6732323+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11AIOWA STATE—W 27-17618686-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HKENT STATE—W 30-7182929+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HCOLORADO STATE—W 24-14333333+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AMARYLAND—W 51-14775454+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HPENN STATE—W 23-20898686-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HPURDUE—L 7-24677373+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AWISCONSIN—L 7-27859595-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ANORTHWESTERN—W 17-12691919+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HMINNESOTA—W 27-22698787-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HILLINOIS—W 33-23645151+29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ANEBRASKA—W 28-21827373+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 4HMICHIGAN#3L 3-42909898-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DEUCE HOGANQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
SPENCER PETRASQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
16
ALEX PADILLAQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
2
JOE LABASQB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET69NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
40
TURNER PALLISSARDFB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
MONTE POTTEBAUMFB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
LESHON WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
TYRONE TRACY JR.RB SERET
★3—00%——
21
IVORY KELLY-MARTINRB SERET
★3—00%——
15
TYLER GOODSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
21
GAVIN WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
22
NOLAN DONALDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
32
JOHNNY PLEWAFB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
MAX WHITERB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
31
ELI MILLERFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
ZACH BRANDRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
KEAGAN JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
85
LUKE LACHEYTE SERET
★4—00%——
1
ARLAND BRUCE IVWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
29
JACKSON RITTERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
19
MAX COOPERWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
CHARLIE JONESWR YRRET
★2—00%——
89
NICO RAGAINIWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
SAM LAPORTATE SERET
★3—00%——
88
JOSIAH MIAMENTE SERET
★3—00%——
48
BRYCE SCHULTETE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
TOMMY KUJAWATE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
DESMOND HUTSONWR FRRET
★3—00%——
14
QUAVON MATTHEWSWR FRRET
★3—00%——
83
ELIJAH YELVERTONTE SORET
★3★300%—HELD
0
DIANTE VINESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
83
ALEC KRITTAWR SORET
UNR—00%——
88
JACKSON FRERICKSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
14
BRODY BRECHTWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
JACK JOHNSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
18
ALEC WICKWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
49
ANDREW LENTSCHTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVID DAVIDKOVHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CONNOR COLBYHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JUSTICE SULLIVANHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
ARLAND BRUCE IVHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
BEAU STEPHENSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KEAGAN JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
COOPER DEJEANHS RECRUITS★4UNR
MAX LLEWELLYNHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
GENNINGS DUNKERHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JADEN HARRELLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN1 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
XAVIOR WILLIAMSNORTHERN IOWASUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHADRICK BYRDCHARLOTTERB★3★3
JULIUS BRENTSKANSAS STATECBUNR★3
CHAUNCEY GOLSTONNFL DRAFT R3DL★3—
NICK NIEMANNNFL DRAFT R6LB★3—
IHMIR SMITH-MARSETTENFL DRAFT R5WR★3—
DAVIYON NIXONNFL DRAFT R5DT★3—
NICK ANDERSONELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
JACK HEFLINELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
SHAUN BEYERELIGIBILITY UPTE★3—
DALLES JACOBUSELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#23NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8808COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
110 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST76% BACK76th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG76% BACK76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE