SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2023 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›JAMES MADISON›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
SUN BELT|CURT CIGNETTI|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
JAMES MADISON37 FPISBC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
5FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
68%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
86%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
+1IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1490 BC / 18
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
11-1ACTUALvs9.9-2.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+16.7
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE64
PERFORMANCE64
TALENT54
CONTINUITY68
DEFENSE80
PERFORMANCE80
TALENT49
CONTINUITY86
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBUCKNELL—W 38-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AVIRGINIA—W 36-35532121+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ATROY—W 16-14278181+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AUTAH STATE—W 45-38252020+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 31-23426464+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 41-13233939+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AMARSHALL—W 20-9312626+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HOLD DOMINION—W 30-27122323+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AGEORGIA STATE—W 42-14373434+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HUCONN—W 44-6331010+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HAPP STATE—L 23-26396161+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ACOASTAL CAROLINA—W 56-14394949+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23AAIR FORCE—L 21-3116767+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB63TAL89PERF63RET3ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
JORDAN MCCLOUDQB SEPORTAL · ARIZONA
★3★39597%+19HELD
14
ALONZA BARNETT IIIQB SERET
★3★3212%—HELD
11
BILLY ATKINSQB JURET
UNR—71%-50—
10
BRETT GRIFFISQB JUPORTAL · WAKE FOREST
★3★340%—HELD
15
BLAKE KENDALLQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB43TAL59PERF43RET57ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KAELON BLACKRB SERET
★3★39243%+33HELD
17
TY SON LAWTONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★39143%-20EMERGED
5
LATRELE PALMERRB SERET
★2—5610%-45—
23
SAMMY MALIGNAGGIRB JURET
UNR—333%-11—
3
WAYNE KNIGHTRB SERET
UNR★3171%—EMERGED
4
KE'MARION BALDWINRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★390%—EMERGED
18
SOLOMON VANHORSERB SERET
★2★300%-10ROSE
40
PEYTON RUTHERFORDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
39
KALIN JEANRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE48TAL42PERF52RET46ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 36 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
44
ZACH HORTONTE SERET
★3★39977%-16HELD
13
ELIJAH SARRATTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★49830%+35EMERGED
1
REGGIE BROWNWR SERET
★2—9628%+29—
PHOENIX SPROLESWR SENO SNAPS
★2—9527%-28—
15
KYI WRIGHTTE SEPORTAL · PITTSBURGH
★3★36519%—HELD
19
TAJI HUDSONWR JUPORTAL · EAST CAROLINA
★3★3618%-41HELD
8
YAMIR KNIGHTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3422%—EMERGED
0
MAXWELL MOSSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—422%——
9
OMARION DOLLISONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3382%+25HELD
85
JORDAN FUNKTE SERET
★2—312%——
89
JOSH PHIFERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3211%—HELD
17
TAYLOR THOMPSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3141%+15HELD
2
JAYDEN MINESWR SERET
UNR—100%——
13
TROY LEWISWR JURET
★3—00%——
37
BLAKE BARNESWR SORET
UNR—00%——
49
PAYTON HUNTERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
GABRIEL HOLLINGSWORTHTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
DESMOND GREENWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
ERICK HARRISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
6
CHRIS LOFTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
7
IBRAHIM BARRYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
COLLIN CARROLLTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
RYKIN MAXWELLWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL41TAL57PERF42RET97n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL75TAL50PERF75RET83n=7 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB56TAL70PERF56RET98n=4 · 10 METRICS · 36 OBS
▸DB45TAL36PERF45RET84n=10 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSH PHIFERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
D'ANGELO PONDSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DERRICK BARKSDALEHS RECRUITCBUNRUNR
MYCHAL MCMULLINHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
KE'MARION BALDWINHS RECRUITRBUNRUNR
DAROLD DENGOHEHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
RILEY ROBELLHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
CHRIS LOFTONHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
YAMIR KNIGHTHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
SAMSON OGUNADEHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVELL MULLENINDIANACB★4★3
JORDAN MCCLOUDARIZONAQB★3★3
BRETT GRIFFISWAKE FORESTQB★3★3
KYI WRIGHTPITTSBURGHTE★3★3
TAJI HUDSONEAST CAROLINAWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAAC UKWUOLE MISSDEUNR★3
ANDREW ADAIRCHARLOTTEOL★3★3
ANTONIO COLCLOUGHMONMOUTHDE★3★3
X COKLEYKENT STATECBUNRUNR
JORDAN SWANNELIGIBILITY UPCB★2—
JAMARE EDWARDSELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
DREW PAINTERELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
SAM KIDDELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
KRIS THORNTONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TODD CENTEIOELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES58%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS65%7 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#149NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8297COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
54 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST24% BACK24th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG24% BACK24th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST84%84th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE