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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›KANSAS›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG 12|LANCE LEIPOLD|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
KANSAS35 FPIB12 · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
65FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
79%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
80%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#433 BC / 17
BC RATIO
15%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.7
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE98
PERFORMANCE98
TALENT47
CONTINUITY79
DEFENSE51
PERFORMANCE51
TALENT60
CONTINUITY80
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
71MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
6 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HLINDENWOOD—W 48-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AILLINOIS#16L 17-23557777-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HUNLV#23L 20-23397474-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AWEST VIRGINIA—L 28-32615252+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HTCU—L 27-38808282-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AARIZONA STATE#7L 31-35797474-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HHOUSTON—W 42-14532424+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AKANSAS STATE—L 27-29548787-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HIOWA STATE#15W 45-36518080-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ABYU#13W 17-13448888-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HCOLORADO#25W 37-21787171-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30ABAYLOR—L 17-45697272-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB77TAL26PERF77RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JALON DANIELSQB SERET
★3—7998%+16—
15
COLE BALLARDQB JURET
UNR—162%+25—
16
BEN EASTERSQB JURET
★3—00%——
8
ISAIAH MARSHALLQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
TJ CREWS IVQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB76TAL67PERF76RET97ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
DEVIN NEALRB SERET
★3—9771%+25—
9
DANIEL HISHAW JR.RB SERET
★3—6919%+31—
28
SEVION MORRISONRB SERET
★4★3497%+22FELL
12
TORRY LOCKLINRB SERET
★3—413%+33—
20
JOHNNY THOMPSON JR.RB JURET
★3★3202%—HELD
27
HARRY STEWART IIIRB SONO SNAPS
★3★3192%—HELD
30
CARSON MORGANRB JURET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
38
JACK SCHNEIDERRB SORET
UNR—00%——
22
MICAH JOHNSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE66TAL36PERF67RET96ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 37 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
LUKE GRIMMWR SERET
★3—8735%+31—
47
JARED CASEYTE SERET
★3—8644%+42—
QUENTIN SKINNERWR SERET
★2—8230%+32—
2
LAWRENCE ARNOLDWR SERET
★3—8129%+25—
45
TREVOR KARDELLTE SERET
★3—7937%+14—
88
TEVITA AHOAFI-NOATE SERET
UNR—5411%——
7
TREVOR WILSONWR SERET
★3★35452%+34—
87
LEYTON CURETE SEPORTAL · FORT HAYS STATE
UNR—477%——
5
DOUG EMILIENWR SERET
★3—342%-48—
19
JADEN HAMMTE SERET
★3★3111%—HELD
80
MACK MOELLERWR SERET
UNR—110%——
13
BRYCE COHOONWR SOPORTAL · SYRACUSE
★3★370%—HELD
81
QUINTON CONLEYTE SERET
★3—40%——
14
MIKEY PAULEYTE SERET
★3—00%——
18
DESHAWN HANIKATE SEPORTAL · IOWA STATE
UNR★300%+53EMERGED
3
KEATON KUBECKAWR JURET
★3—00%——
85
JARRED SAMPLEWR FRRET
★3—00%——
10
GRIFFIN KOCHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
43
MAX MUEHLBERGERTE SORET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
44
CARSON BRUHNTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
HUNTER LUKEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
82
ISREAL MOSES VWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
GRANT MUFFENBIERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
DONALD COLLIERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL81TAL54PERF81RET62n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL59TAL47PERF59RET73n=11 · 8 METRICS · 57 OBS
▸LB50TAL72PERF50RET88n=4 · 10 METRICS · 28 OBS
▸DB56TAL65PERF56RET78n=9 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ WARNERHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
DAKYUS BRINKLEYHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
AUSTIN ALEXANDERHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JALEN TODDHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DAMANI MAXSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ISAIAH MARSHALLHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
HARRY STEWART IIIHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DAVID ABAJIANHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
CARTER LAVRUSKYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
RED MARTELHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BAI JOBEMICHIGAN STATEEDGE★4★4
DESHAWN HANIKAIOWA STATETEUNR★3
AMIR HERRINGMICHIGANOT★4★3
BRYCE FOSTERTEXAS A&MIOL★4★3
DARRELL SIMMONS JR.IOWA STATEIOL★3★3
JAVIER DERRITTNORTH DAKOTA STATEDT★3★3
SHANE BUMGARDNERTIFFIN UNIVERSITYIOLUNR★3
DEVIN DYEUTAH STATES★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AR'MAJ REED-ADAMSTEXAS A&MOL★3★3
GAGE KEYSAUBURNDL★3★3
DAVION WESTMORELANDFLORIDA A&MDLUNR★3
TANAKA SCOTTNORTH ALABAMAWR★3★3
SPENCER LOVELLNEVADAOL★3★3
AKILI HUBBARDEASTERN ILLINOISSUNR★3
DOMINICK PUNINFL DRAFT R3OLUNR—
AUSTIN BOOKERNFL DRAFT R5DL★3—
MIKE NOVITSKYELIGIBILITY UPOL★2—
KENNY LOGAN JR.ELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES19%2 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS21%3 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#43NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8760COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1113 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKNEW
16TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
1
2
2
6
5
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-0.3 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +9 W
IMPROVED11 OF 16
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR62%62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE