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● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›KANSAS STATE›2024TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
BIG 12|CHRIS KLIEMAN|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
KANSAS STATE24 FPIB12 · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
54FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
82%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
89%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#572 BC / 18
BC RATIO
11%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.8
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE91
PERFORMANCE91
TALENT71
CONTINUITY82
DEFENSE89
PERFORMANCE89
TALENT60
CONTINUITY89
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HUT MARTIN—W 41-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7ATULANE—W 34-27556868+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HARIZONA—W 31-7603939+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21ABYU#13L 9-38448888-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HOKLAHOMA STATE—W 42-20624040+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ACOLORADO#25W 31-28787171+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AWEST VIRGINIA—W 45-18615252+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HKANSAS—W 29-27656262+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AHOUSTON—L 19-24532424+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HARIZONA STATE#7L 14-24797474+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HCINCINNATI—W 41-15574747+40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AIOWA STATE#15L 21-29518080+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 26HRUTGERS—W 44-41586969+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB72TAL94PERF72RET97ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
AVERY JOHNSONQB SERET
★4—8897%-5—
2
TA'QUAN ROBERSONQB SEPORTAL · UCONN
★4★3162%-35FELL
7
JACOB KNUTHQB SERET
★3★3111%—HELD
13
BLAKE BARNETTQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
HUDSON HUTCHESONQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB64TAL83PERF64RET74ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
31
DJ GIDDENSRB JURET
UNR—9860%+21—
1
DYLAN EDWARDSRB JUPORTAL · COLORADO
★4★38026%+18FELL
4
JOE JACKSONRB SERET
★3—6513%+5—
32
EVAN CANTURB SORET
UNR—90%——
0
LA'JAMES WHITERB SERET
UNR—50%——
1
DEVON RICERB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
JB PRICERB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE47TAL67PERF48RET82ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JAYCE BROWNWR SERET
★3★49432%+30ROSE
86
GARRETT OAKLEYTE SERET
★3—8838%+25—
83
WILL SWANSONTE SERET
★3—8131%+4—
6
KEAGAN JOHNSONWR SERET
★4★38021%-10FELL
14
DANTE CEPHASWR SEPORTAL · PENN STATE
★3★37316%+19HELD
JADON JACKSONWR SERET
★3—7216%+3—
80
WILL ANCIAUXTE SERET
★3—6516%——
85
BRAYDEN LOFTINTE SERET
★3★36213%+35HELD
12
TRE SPIVEYWR SERET
★3★3629%+6HELD
8
TY BOWMANWR SERET
UNR—535%-31—
6
STERLING LOCKETTWR SERET
★3—291%——
86
ANDREW METZGERTE SORET
★3★3191%—HELD
37
ANDREW SONNERTE JURET
UNR—141%——
9
JACQUES SPRADLEY-DEMPSWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
84
ISAAC KOCHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
QUENTON RICEWR JUPORTAL · BYU
★3★300%—HELD
15
JUSTIN WOLFTE SEPORTAL · WAGNER
UNR★300%—EMERGED
88
ERWIN NASHWR SORET
UNR—00%——
11
JACKSON VOTHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
GARRETT HARSTADTE SORET
UNR—00%——
84
TRAE DAVISWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
89
ZAYDEN MARTINEZWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
21
BRYCE NOERNBERGWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
22
BLAKE TURNERTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
COOPER WARRENWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL64TAL65PERF64RET82n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL66TAL62PERF66RET85n=9 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB75TAL58PERF75RET98n=4 · 11 METRICS · 34 OBS
▸DB61TAL61PERF61RET83n=12 · 8 METRICS · 60 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GUS HAWKINSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TRAE DAVIS IIIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KAEDIN MASSEYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BLAKE BARNETTHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
NAVARRO SCHUNKEHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JB PRICEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JAKE STONEBRAKERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
RYAN HOWARDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JACQUES SPRADLEY-DEMPSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DEVON RICEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN EDWARDSCOLORADORB★4★4
EASTON KILTYNORTH DAKOTAOTUNR★4
DANTE CEPHASPENN STATEWR★3★3
JORDAN RILEYBALL STATES★2★3
TRAVIS BATESAUSTIN PEAYEDGEUNR★3
JORDAN DUNBARRICECB★3★3
ALEC MARENCONEW MEXICOLB★3★3
TA'QUAN ROBERSONUCONNQB★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KOBE SAVAGEOREGONDBUNR★3
WILL LEE IIITEXAS A&MCB★3★4
WILL HOWARDOHIO STATEQB★3★4
NATE MATLACKPITTSBURGHDL★3★3
JEVON BANKSUCONNDL★3★3
TRESHAUN WARDBOSTON COLLEGERB★3★3
JORDAN WRIGHTUCONNDBUNR★3
ANTHONY FRIAS IIUCLARBUNRUNR
XAVIER LOYDILLINOIS STATEWRUNR★3
CHRISTIAN MOOREUNLVTE★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES43%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS55%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#57NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8571COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1017 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR82%82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST83%83th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE