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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›KENTUCKY›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SEC|MARK STOOPS|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
KENTUCKY#12 AP 26 FPISEC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
77FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#373 BC / 25
BC RATIO
22%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.3
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
68MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 35-203466+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8AFLORIDA#7W 27-16919494-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HMURRAY STATE—W 48-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 22HMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 28-7849595-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 24-10858585-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ATEXAS A&M#16L 14-20899292-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HVANDERBILT—W 14-7697171+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AMISSOURI—W 15-14679191-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HGEORGIA#7L 17-34999999-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ATENNESSEE—L 7-24906464+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 34-23343030+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ALOUISVILLE—W 56-10722525+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TERRY WILSONQB SERET
★3★300%——
15
DANNY CLARKQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
12
GUNNAR HOAKQB SERET
★3—00%——
9
WALKER WOODQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
KOLBE LANGHIQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
CHRIS RODRIGUEZ JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
KAVOSIEY SMOKERB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
26
BENNY SNELL JR.RB JURET
UNR—00%——
47
DREW SCHLEGELFB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
ASIM ROSERB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
SIHIEM KINGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
BENNY SNELL, JR.RB —RET
UNR—00%——
30
DONALD SMITHRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
CHRISTOPHER RODRIGUEZ, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
LYNN BOWDEN JR.WR JURET
★4—00%——
AKEEM HAYESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
TAVIN RICHARDSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
CLEVAN THOMASWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JOSH ALIWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
ISAIAH EPPSWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
ZY'AIRE HUGHESWR SORET
★3—00%——
83
JUSTIN RIGGTE SERET
★3—00%——
2
DORIAN BAKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
33
DAVID BOUVIERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
C.J. CONRADTE SERET
UNR—00%——
TAVIN RICHARDONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
ALLEN DAILEY JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
14
AHMAD WAGNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
BRETT SLUSHERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
JOHN DAIDOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
36
PATRICK HENSCHENTE JURET
UNR—00%——
80
BRENDEN BATESTE 5TNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
31
DARREN EDMONDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
MANNY HARPERWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
CLEVAN THOMAS, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
ALLEN DAILEY, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
WILL CRUMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
LYNN BOWDEN, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
BRYAN BEREZOWITZWR —RET
UNR—00%——
23
BRAYDEN BEREZOWITZWR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
MARVIN ALEXANDERWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARQUAN MCCALLHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
DARIAN KINNARDHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CHRIS OATSHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
STANLEY GARNERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DEANDRE SQUAREHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRENDEN BATESHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
QUINTIN WILSONHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
MARVIN ALEXANDERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KEATON UPSHAWHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ALLEN DAILEYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELI BROWNWESTERN KENTUCKYLBUNRUNR
CHARLES MOUSHEYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
NAQUEZ PRINGLENOT LISTEDDTUNR—
KAYAUNE ROSSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
GREG HARTNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
COURTNEY LOVENOT LISTEDLBUNR—
NICK HAYNESNOT LISTEDGUNR—
AUSTIN MACGINNISNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
STEPHEN JOHNSONNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
DREW BARKERNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#37NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8516COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST47% BACK47th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG47% BACK47th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE