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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SUN BELT|MARK HUDSPETH|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
LOUISIANA120 FPISBC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
16FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1210 BC / 14
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs3.6-8.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-11.8
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
34MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HSE LOUISIANA—W 51-48————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9ATULSA—L 42-66401919-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16ATEXAS A&M—L 21-45897272-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HUL MONROE—L 50-56141414-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AIDAHO—W 21-16————NON-FBS OPPONENT
7OCT 12HTEXAS STATE—W 24-7822+8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AARKANSAS STATE—L 3-47414848-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 19-14341717-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AOLE MISS—L 22-50888080-70BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 47-3462222-12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—L 24-342810100BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2AAPP STATE—L 14-63215555-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET1NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
LEVI LEWISQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
JORDAN DAVISQB —RET
UNR—00%——
16
JAKE ARCENEAUXQB SORET
★2—00%——
7
ANDRE NUNEZQB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
BEAU KALBACHERQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET37NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
JORDAN WRIGHTRB JURET
UNR—00%——
3
ASHTON JOHNSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
DARIUS HOGGINSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
9
TREY RAGASRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
ELIJAH MITCHELLRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
4
RAYMOND CALAISRB SERET
★2—00%——
30
MAURICE BRITTONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
LENARD CALLOWAYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
JA'MARCUS BRADLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
JARROD JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
DEVIN SCOTTWR —RET
UNR—00%——
28
CHRIS COLLINSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
11
RAYNARD FORDTE —RET
UNR—00%——
22
EARNEST PATTERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
RYHEEM MALONEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
DION RAYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
21
KEENAN BARNESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
CHASE ROGERSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
MATT BARNESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
CHRIS TURNERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
ALEX ALLENTE SERET
★3—00%——
11
CALIF GOSSETTWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
JALEN WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
KADON HARRISONWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
JOHNNY LUMPKINTE SERET
★2—00%——
82
DA'RON WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
JAMAL BELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
BRIAN SMITH JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
TYDRELL WRIGHTWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
CAMERON HOWELLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
35
LEON DUNCANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
PAT HUGHESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHASE ROGERSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
LAVANTE EPSONHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
LEVI LEWISHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SAMMY OCHOAHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
SCHDARREN ARCHIEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SPENCER GARDNERHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
ZIYON HILLHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
ANDRE JONESHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
KADON HARRISONHS RECRUITPRO★2UNR
JALEN JOHNSONHS RECRUITS★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJAH MCGUIRENFL DRAFT R6RBUNR—
STEVEN COUTTSELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
KARMICHAEL DUNBARNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DOMINICK JONESNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
TRE'MAINE LIGHTFOOTNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JALEN NIXONNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
TREY GRANIERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
OTHA PETERSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
AL RILESNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ANTHONY JENNINGSNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#121NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7921COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST25% BACK25th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG25% BACK25th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE