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HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SUN BELT|MICHAEL DESORMEAUX|—RECORD6-7|CONF—
LOUISIANA74 FPISBC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
34FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
6%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1110 BC / 12
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.2
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE25
PERFORMANCE25
TALENT29
CONTINUITY6
DEFENSE40
PERFORMANCE40
TALENT31
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HSE LOUISIANA—W 24-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 10HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 49-21203131+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17ARICE—L 21-33281212+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AUL MONROE—L 17-21141111+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HSOUTH ALABAMA—L 17-20377575-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AMARSHALL—W 23-13315555-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HARKANSAS STATE—W 38-18371919+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ASOUTHERN MISS—L 24-39393939+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HTROY#19L 17-23356767-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 36-17223333+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19AFLORIDA STATE#11L 17-49888383-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ATEXAS STATE—W 41-13362323+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 23AHOUSTON—L 16-23585757-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB60TAL30PERF60RET41ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
BEN WOOLDRIDGEQB SERET
★2★27555%-26HELD
18
CHANDLER FIELDSQB SERET
★3—6941%-10—
9
ZEON CHRISS-GREMILLIONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★3263%—HELD
8
ZY MCDONALDQB FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
17
HUNTER HERRINGQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB59TAL33PERF59RET78ONE OWNERn=4 · 9 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
CHRIS SMITHRB JURET
★3—8959%+22—
20
DRE WASHINGTONRB SERET
★3—6119%+23—
JACOB KIBODIRB SENO SNAPS
★3★35715%+13HELD
7
ZYLAN PERRYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3427%-42EMERGED
22
CHAZ WARDRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
KENDRELL WILLIAMSRB JURET
★3—00%——
44
TAELON NICHOLASRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE55TAL30PERF55RET94ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 64 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
NEAL JOHNSONTE SERET
★3—8834%+3—
88
JOHNNY LUMPKINTE SERET
★2—8632%-15—
8
MICHAEL JEFFERSONWR SERET
UNR—8523%+36—
24
PEARSE MIGLTE SERET
UNR—8228%-14—
29
PETER LEBLANCWR SERET
★3—7819%-48—
6
ERROL ROGERS JR.WR JURET
★3★26914%-28FELL
1
DONTAE FLEMINGWR SERET
★3★36913%-31HELD
7
JOHN STEPHENS JR.WR SERET
★3—6611%+31—
4
JACOB BERNARDWR SERET
★3—6410%+35—
9
LANCE LEGENDREWR SERET
★4★3494%—FELL
83
DAMANI BURRELLTE SERET
UNR—403%——
19
JAMAL BELLWR SERET
★3—392%-22—
6
KALEB CARTERWR SERET
★2—382%——
11
DALEN CAMBREWR SERET
UNR—362%——
7
TERRANCE CARTER JR.TE JUNO SNAPS
★3—272%——
82
RHETT GUIDRYTE JURET
★3—141%——
3
GOLDEN EKEWR JURET
UNR—130%——
41
JOE LOMBARDI JR.TE FRRET
UNR—00%——
0
ROBERT WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
84
JATHAN CALDWELLTE SORET
★3★300%—HELD
18
JAYDON JOHNSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
DALE MARTINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
30
TRAYV'ON CULBERTWR JURET
UNR—00%——
13
CHARLES ROBERTSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
TYLER HATCHERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CALVIN BULLOCKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
31
JARED BRAXTONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
37
AARON EDWARDSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
CHARLIE WELLSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL44TAL26PERF44RET12n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL57TAL23PERF57RET67n=9 · 8 METRICS · 47 OBS
▸LB43TAL29PERF43RET91n=10 · 11 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸DB52TAL36PERF52RET84n=11 · 8 METRICS · 62 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LORENZELL DUBOSEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KAILEP EDWARDSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ZEON CHRISS-GREMILLIONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
TERRANCE CARTER JR.HS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DAMON YOUNGBLOODHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHARLES ROBERTSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAYDON JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRYANT WILLIAMSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ZYLAN PERRYHS RECRUITATHUNRUNR
CARTER MILLIRONHS RECRUITLSUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EMANI BAILEYTCURB★3UNR
LORENZO MCCASKILLKANSASLB★3UNR
MONTRELL JOHNSON JR.FLORIDARB★3UNR
MEKHI GARNERLSUCBUNRUNR
DOMINIQUE RATCLIFFTEXAS STATEDL★3★3
KYREN LACYLSUWR★3UNR
FERROD GARDNERELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CHAUNCEY MANACELIGIBILITY UPLB★4—
LEVI LEWISELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
JALEN WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#111NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8470COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST28% BACK28th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG28% BACK28th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR12%12th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR41%41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST84%84th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE