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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LOUISVILLE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|SCOTT SATTERFIELD|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
LOUISVILLE46 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
58FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#382 BC / 26
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 6AOLE MISS#11L 24-43818888-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HEASTERN KENTUCKY—W 30-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HUCF—W 42-35655353+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AFLORIDA STATE—W 31-238660600BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AWAKE FOREST#15L 34-37557171-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HVIRGINIA—L 33-34625858+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 28-14644343+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ANC STATE#20L 13-28769090-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HCLEMSON#14L 24-30989595-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HSYRACUSE—W 41-3504040+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ADUKE—W 62-22571313+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HKENTUCKY#18L 21-52798383-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MALIK CUNNINGHAMQB SERET
★3—00%——
19
BROCK DOMANNQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
EVAN CONLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
4
JAWON PASSQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
19
TYLER JENSENQB SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET52NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
HASSAN HALLRB SERET
★3—00%——
36
MAURICE BURKLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JALEN MITCHELLRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
25
JAWHAR JORDANRB JUPORTAL · SYRACUSE
★3★300%—HELD
3
AIDAN ROBBINSRB JURET
★3★400%—ROSE
22
TREY COOLEYRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
10
JAVIAN HAWKINSRB SORET
★3—00%——
31
GREGORY DESROSIERSRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
SHAI WERTSWR SEPORTAL · GEORGIA SOUTHERN
★3★200%—FELL
41
ISAAC MARTINTE SERET
UNR—00%——
42
JOSH LIFSONTE SERET
★2—00%——
1
JUSTIN MARSHALLWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
JOSH JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
15
TYLER HARRELLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
MARSHON FORDTE JURET
UNR—00%——
86
ELIJAH DOWNINGWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
DEZ MELTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
45
DUANE MARTINTE SERET
★3—00%——
24
AHMARI HUGGINS-BRUCEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JORDAN WATKINSWR SERET
★3—00%——
BRADEN SMITHWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
48
JORDAN THOMASWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
DEMETRIUS CANNON JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
FRANCIS SHERMANTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
82
VICTOR MULLENTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
80
CHRISTIAN PEDERSENTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
TJ LEWISWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
36
JATAVIAN CHURCHILLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BENJAMIN PERRYHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TREY COOLEYHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
VICTOINE BROWNHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
BRALYN OLIVERHS RECRUITS★3UNR
AHMARI HUGGINS-BRUCEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JARAYE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DEMETRIUS CANNONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MICHAEL GONZALEZHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
AARON GUNNHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
VICTOR MULLENHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENDERICK DUNCANGEORGIA SOUTHERNSUNR★3
BRYAN HUDSONVIRGINIA TECHOC★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
THURMAN GEATHERSARKANSAS STATEDE★3★3
ANTHONY JOHNSONVIRGINIADBUNR★3
RUSS YEASTKANSAS STATEDB★4★3
ROBERT HICKSUT MARTINLB★4UNR
LOVIE JENKINSFLORIDA A&MDB★3★3
DEZ FITZPATRICKNFL DRAFT R4WR★4—
TUTU ATWELLNFL DRAFT R2WR★3—
MICAH BLANDELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
ISAIAH HAYESELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
MARLON CHARACTERELIGIBILITY UPDB★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#38NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8597COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
616 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE