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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LSU›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SEC|ED ORGERON|—RECORD13-0|CONF—
LSU#1 AP 3 FPISEC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
97FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#514 BC / 27
BC RATIO
59%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
13-0ACTUALvs11.4-1.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+26.6
13 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 55-3263434+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7ATEXAS#25W 45-38968181+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HNORTHWESTERN STATE—W 65-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21AVANDERBILT—W 66-38631919+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HUTAH STATE—W 42-6303737+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HFLORIDA#6W 42-28909595+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AMISSISSIPPI STATE—W 36-13846262+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HAUBURN#14W 23-20919494+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AALABAMA#8W 46-411009898+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AOLE MISS—W 58-37826060+39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HARKANSAS—W 56-20821717+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HTEXAS A&M—W 50-7928585+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7HGEORGIA#4W 37-10999797+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JOE BURROWQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
MYLES BRENNANQB SERET
★4—00%——
16
AJ AYCOCKQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
PETER PARRISHQB SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
12
WALKER KINNEYQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
14
JOHN GORDON MCKERNANQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET39NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
CHRIS CURRYRB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
27
LANARD FOURNETTERB SERET
UNR—00%——
44
TORY CARTERFB SERET
★3—00%——
22
CLYDE EDWARDS-HELAIRERB JURET
★3—00%——
14
JOHN EMERY JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★5★300%—FELL
3
TYRION DAVIS-PRICERB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
23
CORREN NORMANRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
27
JOSH WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
26
KEENEN DUNNRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
TREY PALMERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
19
DERRICK DILLONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
STEPHEN SULLIVANTE SERET
★4—00%——
81
THADDEUS MOSSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
JUSTIN JEFFERSONWR JURET
★3—00%——
13
JONTRE KIRKLINWR SERET
★3—00%——
42
AARON MOFFITTTE SERET
★3—00%——
8
DEVONTA LEEWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
80
JAMAL PETTIGREWTE SERET
★4★400%—HELD
17
RACEY MCMATHWR SERET
★3—00%——
7
JA'MARR CHASEWR JURET
★4—00%——
6
TERRACE MARSHALL JR.WR JURET
★5—00%——
10
JARAY JENKINSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
COLBY BRUNETWR JURET
UNR—00%——
45
STEPHEN KINGTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
49
JANSEN MAYEATE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
ALEX AUCOINWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
MICHAEL MARTINWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
EVAN FRANCIONIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
BRANDON HUBICZTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
JACK MASHBURNTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
THOMAS MCGOEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
CLYDE TOWNSENDWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEREK STINGLEY JR.HS RECRUITCB★5UNR
JOHN EMERY JR.HS RECRUITRB★5UNR
MARCEL BROOKSHS RECRUITOLB★5UNR
KARDELL THOMASHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
TREY PALMERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
MAURICE HAMPTONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
SIAKI IKAHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
TYRION DAVIS-PRICEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
RAY PARKERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
DONTE STARKSHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVIN COTTONSOUTHERNDT★4UNR
FOSTER MOREAUNFL DRAFT R4TEUNR—
DEVIN WHITENFL DRAFT R1LB★4—
GREEDY WILLIAMSNFL DRAFT R2CB★4—
TERRENCE ALEXANDERELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JOHN BATTLEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
GARRETT BRUMFIELDELIGIBILITY UPGUNR—
ED PARISELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
NICK BROSSETTEELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
DEE ANDERSONELIGIBILITY UPWR★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#5NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
14OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8955COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST73% BACK73th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG73% BACK73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE