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● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LSU›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|BRIAN KELLY|—RECORD10-4|CONF—
LSU#16 AP 10 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
95FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
4%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#127 BC / 15
BC RATIO
57%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-4ACTUALvs8.8-4.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.6
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE95
PERFORMANCE95
TALENT88
CONTINUITY4
DEFENSE93
PERFORMANCE93
TALENT80
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
73MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AFLORIDA STATE#11L 23-24888383+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HSOUTHERN—W 65-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HMISSISSIPPI STATE#20W 31-16808686+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HNEW MEXICO—W 38-01211+89BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1AAUBURN—W 21-17885959+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HTENNESSEE#6L 13-40879797-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AFLORIDA—W 45-35927575+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HOLE MISS—W 45-208490900BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HALABAMA#5W 32-311009898-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AARKANSAS—W 13-10827878+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HUAB—W 41-10294747+43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26ATEXAS A&M—L 23-38987272+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 3AGEORGIA#1L 30-5099100100-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2APURDUE—W 63-7646565+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB71TAL98PERF71RET14ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
JAYDEN DANIELSQB SENO SNAPS
★4—9585%+20—
18
GARRETT NUSSMEIERQB SERET
★4—5514%+20—
14
WALKER HOWARDQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★3111%—FELL
12
TAVION FAULKQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
15
MATT O'DOWDQB SONO SNAPS
UNR★200%—EMERGED
23
GEORGE HAMSLEYQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB73TAL53PERF73RET52ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 24 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
JOSH WILLIAMSRB SERET
★2—8836%+17—
14
JOHN EMERY JR.RB SERET
★5★37824%-11FELL
21
NOAH CAINRB SENO SNAPS
★4—7824%-8—
7
ARMONI GOODWINRB SERET
★4★46313%+6HELD
34
DERRICK DAVIS JR.RB SERET
★4★3282%-3HELD
36
NICK DEMASRB JURET
UNR—191%——
23
CORREN NORMANRB JURET
★2—00%——
30
MALACHI LANERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE56TAL85PERF57RET66ONE OWNERn=8 · 8 METRICS · 54 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
86
MASON TAYLORTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—9968%-11—
8
MALIK NABERSWR JURET
★4—9825%+23—
7
KAYSHON BOUTTEWR JURET
★5—9321%-16—
10
JARAY JENKINSWR SERET
★3—8416%+32—
11
BRIAN THOMAS JR.WR JURET
★4—8015%-14—
2
KYREN LACYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—7211%-11—
87
KOLE TAYLORTE SERET
★3★36921%-13HELD
18
JACK BECHWR SERET
★4★3679%-6FELL
82
JACK MASHBURNTE JURET
UNR—446%——
85
NICK STORZTE SERET
UNR—415%——
3
CHRIS HILTON JR.WR SERET
★4—412%——
88
EVAN FRANCIONIWR SERET
UNR—341%——
45
GIVANNI PETERSONTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—211%——
24
LANDON IBIETAWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3180%—HELD
80
GREGORY CLAYTON JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—170%——
5
JAVEN NICHOLASWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3130%—EMERGED
37
RJ WILLISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
JACK RILLINGWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
MJ FRAZIERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
NOAH NASHWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
COWINN HELAIREWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL60TAL90PERF60RET0n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL60TAL85PERF60RET72n=6 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸LB63TAL91PERF63RET66n=5 · 11 METRICS · 37 OBS
▸DB73TAL69PERF73RET30n=8 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS15 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HAROLD PERKINS JR.HS RECRUITLB★5UNR
WILL CAMPBELLHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
WALKER HOWARDHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
QUENCY WIGGINSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
EMERY JONES JR.HS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
LATERRANCE WELCHHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DEMARIO TOLANHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JORDAN ALLENHS RECRUITS★3UNR
LANDON IBIETAHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAELYN DAVIS-ROBINSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREY PALMERNEBRASKAWR★4UNR
MAX JOHNSONTEXAS A&MQB★4★3
ALEX ADAMSAKRONWR★4UNR
KOY MOOREAUBURNWR★4★3
COREY KINERCINCINNATIRB★4UNR
DWIGHT MCGLOTHERNARKANSASDB★4UNR
JOE EVANSUTSADLUNRUNR
PIG CAGEUTSADB★3★3
DEVONTA LEELOUISIANA TECHWR★4UNR
ELI RICKSALABAMADB★5UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#12NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 15 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9163COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST29% BACK29th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG29% BACK29th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR14%14th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST30%30th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE