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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|MARK WHIPPLE|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
MASSACHUSETTS99 FPIMAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
30FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1100 BC / 20
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs5.7-6.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.3
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26HHAWAI'I—L 35-381755+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 2ACOASTAL CAROLINA—L 28-384———NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HOLD DOMINION—L 7-171988+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ATEMPLE—L 21-29434444-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23ATENNESSEE—L 13-17924848-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HOHIO—L 50-58155353-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 55-20281010+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HAPP STATE—W 30-27215555-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4AMISSISSIPPI STATE#19L 23-34818686-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HMAINE—W 44-31————NON-FBS OPPONENT
12NOV 18ABYU—W 16-10612424-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 45-63202020+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
MICHAEL CURTISQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
RANDALL WESTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
ANDREW FORDQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
ROSS COMISQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
MIKE FALLONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
ANDREW BRITOQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET81NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
37
ANDREW LIBBYFB —RET
UNR—00%——
45
MALIK LEEFB —RET
UNR—00%——
22
BILAL ALLYRB JURET
★3—00%——
25
JESSIE BRITTRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
8
MARQUIS YOUNGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
NICK OREKOYARB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
JORDAN FREDERICKSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
GILBERTO TORRESRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
MATT TULEJAFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
CONNOR LEMIEUXWR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
ALFRED ADARKWAHWR —RET
UNR—00%——
15
JACOBY HERRINGWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
BRENNON DINGLEWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
SADIQ PALMERWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
ADAM BRENEMANTE —RET
UNR—00%——
5
ANDY ISABELLAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JYVON BROWNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
87
TRAVIS REYNOLDSTE JURET
UNR—00%——
80
KYLE HORNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
18
TAYLOR EDWARDSTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
86
WILL CONNERYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
CAM ROBERSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
JAVON TURNERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
47
JOVOHN TUCKERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
ELIJAH ROBINSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
PATRICK O'REILLY, IVWR —RET
UNR—00%——
16
KEITH LYNCHWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
PATRICK VOLCYWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
40
JON LUCIERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CLAUDIN CHERELUSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CHINEDU OGBONNAHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ZAK SIMONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BRIAN ROBERTSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CHRIS HUNTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MICHAEL RUANEHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
TYRIS LEBEAUHS RECRUITS★2UNR
JESSIE BRITTHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
CHRIS DITOMMASOHS RECRUITSDE★2UNR
JAKE BYCZKOHS RECRUITWDE★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMES ALLENCHARLESTON SOUTHERNCBUNRUNR
KHARY BAILEY-SMITHNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JOHN ROBINSON-WOODGETTNOT LISTEDFBUNR—
VONDELL LANGSTONNOT LISTEDILBUNR—
BERNARD DAVISNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
LUCAS AMATONOT LISTEDLBUNR—
PETER ANGEHNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
ENOCK ASANTENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
MICHAEL DOWE JR.NOT LISTEDDLUNR—
SHAKUR NESMITHNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#110NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7866COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE