SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MIAMI›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
ACC|MANNY DIAZ|—RECORD8-2|CONF—
MIAMI#22 AP 25 FPIACC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
89FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1311 BC / 21
BC RATIO
48%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-2ACTUALvs6.5-3.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.0
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE10 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 10HUAB—W 31-14297070+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19ALOUISVILLE—W 47-34657171+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26HFLORIDA STATE—W 52-10903232+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10ACLEMSON#3L 17-42989898-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17HPITTSBURGH—W 31-19746969+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HVIRGINIA—W 19-14545151+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ANC STATE—W 44-41784747+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14AVIRGINIA TECH—W 25-24768888-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5ADUKE—W 48-0643333+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HNORTH CAROLINA#18L 26-62849292-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
D'ERIQ KINGQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
N'KOSI PERRYQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
17
PEYTON MATOCHAQB SORET
★3—00%——
16
TYLER VAN DYKEQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
18
TATE MARTELLQB JURET
★4★400%—HELD
16
RYAN RIZKQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET56NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
ROBERT BURNSRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
41
MICHAEL PARROTTFB JURET
★2—00%——
23
CAM'RON HARRISRB JURET
★4—00%——
22
JAYLAN KNIGHTONRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
20
DON CHANEYRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
43
ISAIAH CASHWELLRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
MARSHALL FEWWR JURET
★2—00%——
9
BREVIN JORDANTE JURET
★4—00%——
18
LARRY HODGESTE FRRET
★3—00%——
3
MIKE HARLEYWR SERET
★4—00%——
7
MARK POPEWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
2
DEE WIGGINSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
85
WILL MALLORYTE SERET
★4—00%——
JEREMIAH PAYTONWR SORET
★4—00%——
7
XAVIER RESTREPOWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
KEY'SHAWN SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
13
MICHAEL REDDING IIIWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
34
ELIAS LUGO-FAGUNDOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
40
WILL HUGGINSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
9
DAZALIN WORSHAMWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
86
DOMINIC MAMMARELLITE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
48
ROBERT PROSEKTE SORET
UNR—00%——
82
JARIUS HOWARDWR FRRET
★2—00%——
47
MYKEL TUBBSWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
31
CONNOR BYRNEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
DANTE JOHNSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AVANTAE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★4UNR
CHANTZ WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
JAYLAN KNIGHTONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
DONALD CHANEY JR.HS RECRUITRB★4UNR
JALEN RIVERSHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
MICHAEL REDDING IIIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JALEN HARRELLHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TYLER VAN DYKEHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
ISAIAH DUNSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ELIJAH ROBERTSHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SCOTT PATCHANCOLORADO STATEDLUNRUNR
MICHAEL IRVIN IIFLORIDA ATLANTICTE★3UNR
BRIAN HIGHTOWERILLINOISWR★4★3
K.J. OSBORNNFL DRAFT R5WRUNR—
DEEJAY DALLASNFL DRAFT R4RB★4—
JONATHAN GARVINNFL DRAFT R7DL★4—
SHAQUILLE QUARTERMANNFL DRAFT R4LB★4—
ROBERT KNOWLESELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
TREVON HILLELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
CHIGOZIE NNORUKAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#13NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
11OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9029COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST48% BACK48th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG48% BACK48th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR36%36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE