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HOME›TEAMS›MICHIGAN›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|JIM HARBAUGH|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
MICHIGAN#14 AP 6 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
95FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#227 BC / 22
BC RATIO
46%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs10.2-1.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+19.3
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
60MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1ANOTRE DAME#5L 17-24939191+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 49-3392020+73BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HSMU—W 45-20472929+64BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HNEBRASKA—W 56-10826262+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29ANORTHWESTERN#21W 20-17694848+45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HMARYLAND—W 42-21835555+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HWISCONSIN—W 38-13758686+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AMICHIGAN STATE—W 21-7767878+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HPENN STATE#17W 42-7928989+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ARUTGERS—W 42-7571717+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HINDIANA—W 31-20594747+46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AOHIO STATE#3L 39-621009696-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET31NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
JOE MILTON IIIQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
2
SHEA PATTERSONQB SENO SNAPS
★5—00%——
12
DYLAN MCCAFFREYQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
18
BRANDON PETERSQB SERET
★4—00%——
6
MICHAEL SESSAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
MAX WITTWERQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET89NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
JOE HEWLETTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TRU WILSONRB SERET
★2—00%——
22
KARAN HIGDONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
BERKLEY EDWARDSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
JARED WANGLERFB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
CHRIS EVANSRB SERET
★4—00%——
28
CHRISTIAN TURNERRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
O'MAURY SAMUELSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
45
PETER BUSHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
44
JARED CHARRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
HASSAN HASKINSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
31
LUCAS ANDRIGHETTORB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
NICHOLAS CAPATINARB SERET
UNR—00%——
49
TYLER PLOCKIFB —RET
UNR—00%——
34
JULIAN GARRETTRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
RONNIE BELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
GRANT PERRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
ZACH GENTRYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
NICO COLLINSWR JURET
★4—00%——
9
DONOVAN PEOPLES-JONESWR JURET
★5—00%——
84
SEAN MCKEONTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
NICK EUBANKSTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
OLIVER MARTINWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
TARIK BLACKWR SERET
★4—00%——
81
NATE SCHOENLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
42
BEN MASONTE SERET
★3—00%——
43
JAKE MCCURRYWR SERET
★2—00%——
18
BRENDAN WHITEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
JACOB WESTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
38
JOSEPH FILESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
24
JAKE MARTINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JOEL HONIGFORDTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
CARTER SELZERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
31
JACK YOUNGWR JURET
UNR—00%——
35
LUKE BUCKMANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
RAMSEY BATYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
TYLER GROSZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
MUSTAPHA MUHAMMADTE SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
86
LUKE SCHOONMAKERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
39
MATT TOREYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
DESMOND NICHOLASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
KYLE GRADYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
KENNETH FERRISTE —RET
UNR—00%——
38
ETHAN DELANDWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AIDAN HUTCHINSONHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
CAMERON MCGRONEHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
MUSTAPHA MUHAMMADHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
MYLES SIMSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JOE MILTON IIIHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
JALEN MAYFIELDHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
RYAN HAYESHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
GEMON GREENHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHRISTIAN TURNERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TAYLOR UPSHAWHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DRAKE HARRISWESTERN MICHIGANWRUNRUNR
WILTON SPEIGHTUCLAQBUNRUNR
MAURICE WAYSCALIFORNIAWRUNRUNR
IAN BUNTINGCALIFORNIATEUNRUNR
KAREEM WALKERELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
KEKOA CRAWFORDELIGIBILITY UPWR★4—
EDDIE MCDOOMELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
JOHN O'KORNNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
TY ISAACNOT LISTED?UNR—
HENRY POGGINOT LISTEDFBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#22NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8762COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
17TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
3
4
6
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +5 W
IMPROVED8 OF 17
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR31%31th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE