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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG TEN|SHERRONE MOORE|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
MICHIGAN#21 AP 20 FPIB1G · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
51%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
68%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-13IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#617 BC / 25
BC RATIO
60%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.6-3.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.9
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE75
PERFORMANCE75
TALENT86
CONTINUITY51
DEFENSE67
PERFORMANCE67
TALENT86
CONTINUITY68
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HNEW MEXICO—W 34-1754747+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6AOKLAHOMA#13L 13-24919090-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 63-3122626+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20ANEBRASKA—W 30-27866666+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HWISCONSIN—W 24-10803838+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AUSC#20L 13-31888989-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HWASHINGTON—W 24-7749191-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 25AMICHIGAN STATE—W 31-20734040+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HPURDUE—W 21-16613434+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ANORTHWESTERN—W 24-22596363+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AMARYLAND—W 45-20634545+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HOHIO STATE#5L 9-27999999-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31ATEXAS#12L 27-41988888-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB69TAL100PERF69RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
BRYCE UNDERWOODQB SONO SNAPS
★5—8999%-12—
2
JADYN DAVISQB SORET
★4★3101%—FELL
12
JAKE GARCIAQB SEPORTAL · EAST CAROLINA
★4★400%+13HELD
7
MIKEY KEENEQB SEPORTAL · FRESNO STATE
★3★300%+36HELD
16
DAVIS WARRENQB SERET
UNR★300%+19EMERGED
15
CHASE HERBSTREITQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB71TAL75PERF71RET62ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 18 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
23
JORDAN MARSHALLRB JURET
★4—8737%+21—
22
JUSTICE HAYNESRB SEPORTAL · ALABAMA
★5★48331%+26FELL
24
BRYSON KUZDZALRB SERET
★2★27422%-9HELD
21
JASPER PARKERRB SONO SNAPS
★4★3465%+1FELL
25
MICAH KA'APANARB JURET
★3—424%-49—
36
TOMAS O'MEARARB JURET
UNR—262%+35—
26
DONOVAN JOHNSONRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
JOHN VOLKERRB SEPORTAL · PRINCETON
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾WR/TE74TAL79PERF74RET56ROTATIONn=9 · 7 METRICS · 44 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
DONAVEN MCCULLEYWR SEPORTAL · INDIANA
★4★39236%+15FELL
17
MARLIN KLEINTE SERET
★3—8634%-1—
3
ANDREW MARSHWR SONO SNAPS
★4—8529%+27—
83
ZACK MARSHALLTE SERET
★3—7220%+31—
4
SEMAJ MORGANWR SERET
★3★37116%-6HELD
44
MAX BREDESONTE SERET
UNR—7019%-13—
9
CHANNING GOODWINWR JURET
★3—6612%-10—
42
JALEN HOFFMANTE SERET
UNR—589%——
88
DEAKON TONIELLITE SERET
★4—568%-28—
80
HOGAN HANSENTE JURET
★4—547%-4—
0
KENDRICK BELLWR SERET
★3—474%-55—
86
BRADY PRIESKORNTE SORET
★4★3282%—FELL
81
JAMAR BROWDERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—201%——
44
ELI OWENSTE SONO SNAPS
★3—141%——
6
FREDRICK MOOREWR JURET
★4★3110%-28FELL
85
ANTHONY SIMPSONWR SEPORTAL · MASSACHUSETTS
UNR★3110%+25EMERGED
46
CRANDALL QUINNTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—70%——
81
PEYTON O'LEARYWR SERET
UNR—00%-6—
39
JOE TAYLORWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
LOGAN FORBESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JACOB WASHINGTONWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
82
C.J. CHARLESTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
I'MARION STEWARTWR JURET
★4—00%——
38
BRYCE WILCOXWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
KALEB SCHLECHTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
▸OL69TAL90PERF69RET72n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL54TAL86PERF54RET76n=8 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB66TAL89PERF66RET83n=7 · 11 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸DB65TAL85PERF65RET53n=12 · 6 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRYCE UNDERWOODHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
ANDREW BABALOLAHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
TY HAYWOODHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
NATE MARSHALLHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
SHAMARI EARLSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
KAINOA WINSTONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ANDREW MARSHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JORDAN YOUNGHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ELIJAH DOTSONHS RECRUITS★4UNR
NATHANIEL OWUSU-BOATENGHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTICE HAYNESALABAMARB★5★4
TRÉ WILLIAMSCLEMSONDLUNR★4
DAMON PAYNEALABAMADL★5★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT36 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DOMINICK GIUDICEMISSOURIOL★3★3
JEFF PERSIPITTSBURGHOL★4★3
ANDREW GENTRYBYUOL★4★3
ALEX ORJIUNLVQB★3★3
BENJAMIN HALLNORTH CAROLINARB★3★3
JA'DEN MCBURROWSAPP STATEDB★3★3
AMORION WALKERMIDDLE TENNESSEEWR★3★3
KECHAUN BENNETTUCLADL★4★3
BREEON ISHMAILPURDUEDE★3★3
JASON HEWLETT JR.BOSTON COLLEGELB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES87%8 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS57%6 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#6NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
17OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9200COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1730 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGANY — MERGEDQUARTERBACKANY — MERGED
17TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
3
4
6
2
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +5 W
IMPROVED8 OF 17
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THIS PROFILE WAS TOO RARE TO STAND ALONE AND A BROADER CELL IS SHOWN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR72%72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST53%53th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE