SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MICHIGAN STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG TEN|MARK DANTONIO|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
MICHIGAN STATE#15 AP 32 FPIB1G · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
78FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#364 BC / 28
BC RATIO
27%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs6.9-5.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.8
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HBOWLING GREEN—W 35-10272121+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 28-14383939+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HNOTRE DAME#11L 18-38939191-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HIOWA—W 17-10647373+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AMICHIGAN—W 14-10959090-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AMINNESOTA—W 30-27544444+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HINDIANA—W 17-9557575+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANORTHWESTERN#17L 31-39707979+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HPENN STATE#8W 27-24869696-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AOHIO STATE#5L 3-48999999-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HMARYLAND—W 17-7803333+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ARUTGERS—W 40-7622727+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET28NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
MESSIAH DEWEAVERQB SERET
★4★300%——
14
BRIAN LEWERKEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
DAMION TERRYQB —RET
UNR—00%——
13
MICKEY MACIUSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET95NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
GERALD HOLMESRB —RET
UNR—00%——
3
LJ SCOTTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CONNOR HEYWARDRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
31
MADRE LONDONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
WESTON BRIDGESRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
NOAH SARGENTRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
ANDRE WELCHRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
ALANTE THOMASRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
COLLIN LUCASFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
FELTON DAVIS IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
TRISHTON JACKSONWR JURET
★4—00%——
82
NOAH DAVISTE SERET
★3—00%——
7
CODY WHITEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
MATT SOKOLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
25
DARRELL STEWART JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
21
CAM CHAMBERSWR JURET
★4—00%——
9
HUNTER RISONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
MATT DOTSONTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
13
LARESS NELSONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
BRANDON SOWARDSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
MATT SEYBERTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
20
DAVIS LEWANDOWSKIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
41
REID BURTONTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
43
MUFI HILL-HUNTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
BROCK MAKARICWR —RET
UNR—00%——
42
HUSSIEN KADRYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
23
NICK KRUMMWR —RET
UNR—00%——
94
CHASE GIANACAKOSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
85
KHYLIN BARTONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
45
JOE PALANGETE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEVIN JARVISHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
MATT DOTSONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
ANTJUAN SIMMONSHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
HUNTER RISONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JORDAN REIDHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
CODY WHITEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ROCKY LOMBARDIHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
JACUB PANASIUKHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
WESTON BRIDGESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CONNOR HEYWARDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT29 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALIK MCDOWELLNFL DRAFT R2DLUNR—
MONTAE NICHOLSONNFL DRAFT R4SUNR—
BRANDON CLEMONSNOT LISTEDGUNR—
ED DAVISNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
FRANK EPITROPOULOSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TYLER O'CONNORNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JOSIAH PRICENOT LISTEDTEUNR—
NICK TOMPKINSNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
RILEY BULLOUGHNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DEMETRIOUS COXNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#36NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8452COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR28%28th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE