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HOME›TEAMS›MIDDLE TENNESSEE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|RICK STOCKSTILL|—RECORD8-5|CONF—
MIDDLE TENNESSEE95 FPICUSA · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
26FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
12%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1200 BC / 8
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs6.3-5.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.1
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE10
PERFORMANCE10
TALENT36
CONTINUITY12
DEFENSE50
PERFORMANCE50
TALENT53
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
32MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AJAMES MADISON—L 7-4456262-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10ACOLORADO STATE—W 34-192755+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HTENNESSEE STATE—W 49-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 24AMIAMI—W 45-31914242-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HUTSA—L 30-45466464-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AUAB—L 14-41294747-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 17-35425050-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AUTEP—W 24-13102525+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ALOUISIANA TECH—L 24-403988+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HCHARLOTTE—W 24-14411010+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 49-21493131+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 33-283422+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 24ASAN DIEGO STATE—W 25-23183636-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB58TAL43PERF58RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
CHASE CUNNINGHAMQB SERET
UNR—9688%+24—
11
NICHOLAS VATTIATOQB SERET
★3—4911%+32—
6
PRESTON RICEQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
STONE FROSTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
KYLE LOWEQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB65TAL12PERF65RET66ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
FRANK PEASANTRB SERET
★3★39560%+6HELD
24
DARIUS BRACYRB SENO SNAPS
★2—7222%-8—
21
JOE ERVINRB SONO SNAPS
★3—518%-1—
4
TERRY WILKINSRB SERET
★2★2446%+21HELD
19
A'VARIUS SPARROWRB SONO SNAPS
★3—374%-58—
23
JALEN MONTGOMERYRB SORET
UNR—91%-54—
31
ARAN MOHAMAD-ALIRB SORET
UNR—00%——
48
NASH STIDHAMFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE54TAL51PERF54RET72ONE OWNERn=9 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
JAYLIN LANEWR SERET
★3★39519%+29HELD
89
YUSUF ALIWR SERET
UNR—9117%-26—
2
IZAIAH GATHINGSWR SERET
UNR—9117%+2—
3
DJ ENGLAND-CHISOLMWR SERET
★3—7210%+14—
BUD TOLBERTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—709%-49—
9
ELIJAH METCALFWR SERET
★3★3678%+19HELD
6
JEREMY TATE JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—615%-42—
80
AJ TONEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★3595%-56HELD
3
BRYCE BAILEYWR SERET
★3★2543%-43FELL
81
TAHARIN SUDDERTHTE SERET
UNR★35058%—EMERGED
87
MARQUEL TINSLEYWR SORET
★3—472%——
22
ANDREW PAIGEWR FRTRUE FR
★3—462%——
88
JACOB COLEMANTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★34442%—HELD
13
JAVONTE SHERMANWR JURET
★3★3401%—HELD
10
DJ RILESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3301%—HELD
85
JAYLEN WARDWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
28
MALACHI BURNSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
21
JERON NEWSONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
CADEN WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
27
COLTON SHAFFERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
47
JAMISON GREENWAYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
MITCHELL HOWELLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JOHN OJELABIWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL34TAL34PERF34RET0n=10 · 3 METRICS · 26 OBS
▸DL63TAL66PERF63RET84n=10 · 7 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸LB64TAL55PERF64RET57n=7 · 11 METRICS · 63 OBS
▸DB46TAL45PERF46RET88n=7 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS8 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLEN WARDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KYLE LOWEHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DJ RILESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRANDON CONNARDHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
KEYLAN RUTLEDGEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ANDREW PAIGEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MATEO GUEVARAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
MUAAZ BYARDHS RECRUITLBUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QUINCY RILEYLOUISVILLEDB★3UNR
AMIR RASULELIGIBILITY UPRB★4—
WILL GILCHRISTELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
CJ WINDHAMELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
MARTELL PETTAWAYELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
BRAD ANDERSONELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
REED BLANKENSHIPELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
RAHEME FULLERELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
JIMMY MARSHALLELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
GREGORY GRATEELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#120NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 8 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8414COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST88%88th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE