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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MISSISSIPPI STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
SEC|DAN MULLEN|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
MISSISSIPPI STATE#19 AP 19 FPISEC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
81FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#244 BC / 19
BC RATIO
28%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs8.9-3.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.7
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
65MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HCHARLESTON SOUTHERN—W 49-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9ALOUISIANA TECH—W 57-21362727+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HLSU#18W 37-7969292-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AGEORGIA#2L 3-31989898-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AAUBURN#10L 10-49959494-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HBYU—W 35-10612424+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HKENTUCKY—W 45-7775252+34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ATEXAS A&M—W 35-14897272+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HMASSACHUSETTS—W 34-23302121+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HALABAMA#1L 24-31100100100-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AARKANSAS—W 28-21835151+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HOLE MISS—L 28-31888080+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET88NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
NICK FITZGERALDQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
LOGAN BURNETTQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
RIP KIRKQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
37
TREY BRASWELLRB —RET
UNR—00%——
21
NICK GIBSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
ALEC MURPHYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
AERIS WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
DONTAVIAN LEERB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KYLIN HILLRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
GABE MYLESWR —RET
UNR—00%——
12
KEITH MIXON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
DEDDRICK THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
FARROD GREENTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
DONALD GRAYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
JORDAN THOMASTE —RET
UNR—00%——
6
JAMAL COUCHWR JURET
★3—00%——
99
KEYTAON THOMPSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
2
REGGIE TODDWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
JESSE JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JUSTIN JOHNSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
OSIRUS MITCHELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
MALIK DEARWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
DONTEA JONESWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
24
TRISTAN PISACANEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
TAURY DIXONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
STEPHEN GUIDRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
DEVONTA JASONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
JAVONTA PAYTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
AARON HAMAKERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
80
CHRISTIAN ROBERSONTE —RET
★3—00%——
13
TRAVIS O'CONNORWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILLIE GAY JR.HS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
KEYTAON THOMPSONHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
KYLIN HILLHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
NOAH ELLISSHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
TYLER DUNNINGHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
AARON ODOMHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
AUSTIN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TYLER WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LANDON GUIDRYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOSH COOPERHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAMIAN WILLIAMSTEXAS STATEQBUNRUNR
NICK TIANOCHATTANOOGAQBUNRUNR
CEDRIC JILESWAKE FORESTDBUNRUNR
KELAN CHAIRSTROYLBUNRUNR
CHRIS STAMPSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
RICHIE BROWNNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
A.J. JEFFERSONNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
TORREY DALENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DEVON DESPERNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
BRANDON HOLLOWAYNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#24NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8441COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST76% BACK76th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG76% BACK76th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR88%88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE