SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MISSISSIPPI STATE›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SEC|MIKE LEACH|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
MISSISSIPPI STATE#20 AP 15 FPISEC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
3%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#275 BC / 21
BC RATIO
34%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.1-3.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE68
PERFORMANCE68
TALENT74
CONTINUITY3
DEFENSE96
PERFORMANCE96
TALENT69
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
72MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3HMEMPHIS—W 49-23476363+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10AARIZONA—W 39-17664141+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17ALSU#16L 16-31959090-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24HBOWLING GREEN—W 45-142377+79BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HTEXAS A&M—W 42-24987272+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HARKANSAS—W 40-17827878+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AKENTUCKY—L 17-27818282+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AALABAMA#5L 6-301009898-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HAUBURN—W 39-33885959+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HGEORGIA#1L 19-4599100100-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HEAST TENNESSEE STATE—W 56-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 24AOLE MISS—W 24-22849090-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLJAN 2AILLINOIS—W 19-10608888-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB65TAL92PERF65RET1ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
WILL ROGERSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★410097%+35ROSE
13
SAWYER ROBERTSONQB SENO SNAPS
★4★3232%—FELL
9
CHANCE LOVERTICHQB SERET
UNR★3131%+8EMERGED
3
DANIEL GREEKQB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
8
BRAEDYN LOCKEQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
16
JAKE WEIRQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB60TAL92PERF60RET86ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 22 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
WOODY MARKSRB SERET
★4★49545%+17HELD
7
DILLON JOHNSONRB JURET
★3★49035%+9ROSE
22
SIMEON PRICERB SENO SNAPS
★3★36613%-2HELD
32
J.J. JERNIGHANRB SERET
UNR—495%-19—
18
KE'TRAVION HARGROVERB SENO SNAPS
★4★490%—HELD
38
ASHTANYREIN DUNCANRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
BRINSTON WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
34
KIONE ROBERSONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE45TAL71PERF45RET84COMMITTEEn=9 · 7 METRICS · 58 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
CALEB DUCKINGWR SERET
UNR★39515%-19EMERGED
82
RUFUS HARVEYWR JURET
★3★39114%-9HELD
7
RARA THOMASWR SERET
★4★38913%+11FELL
5
LIDEATRICK GRIFFINWR SERET
★4★48813%-5HELD
85
AUSTIN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—8712%+2—
11
JADEN WALLEYWR SERET
★3—8110%-15—
2
JUSTIN ROBINSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★3769%-14FELL
6
JAMIRE CALVINWR SERET
UNR★4696%-49—
24
SCOOBIE FORDWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—583%-43—
8
ANTONIO HARMONWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3451%—FELL
0
ZAVION THOMASWR SENO SNAPS
★3★4311%—ROSE
9
JORDAN MOSLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★4★4291%—HELD
18
KAYDIN POPEWR FRTRUE FR
★3★3250%—HELD
5
MOJO DORTCHWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★4250%—HELD
83
JARNORRIS HOPSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3220%—HELD
89
ANDREW BERQUISTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
KADE KOLKAWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
NICK LAUDERDALETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
BRADEN COFFEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL65TAL70PERF65RET0n=7 · 3 METRICS · 19 OBS
▸DL61TAL68PERF61RET88n=8 · 7 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB65TAL59PERF65RET100n=6 · 11 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB66TAL77PERF66RET82n=9 · 8 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREVION WILLIAMSHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
MOJO DORTCHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JACARIUS CLAYTONHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
BRAEDYN LOCKEHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
ZAVION THOMASHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAVAE GILMOREHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
KHALID MOOREHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
LUCAS TAYLORHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
DONTERRY RUSSELLHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KAYDIN POPEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
IZUCHUKWU KING ANITULSADLUNRUNR
AARON BRULEMICHIGAN STATELB★3UNR
MALIK HEATHOLE MISSWR★3UNR
OMNI WELLSSOUTH ALABAMARB★3UNR
JANARI DEANSOUTHERN MISSRB★3UNR
TUCKER DAYELIGIBILITY UPP★2—
FRED PETERSELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JAY JIMISONELIGIBILITY UPCB★2—
AARON ODOMELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
MAKAI POLKNOT LISTEDWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#27NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8805COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST82%82th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE