SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2024 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2024 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|BRIAN NEWBERRY|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
NAVY70 FPIAAC · 2024 SEASON
TALENT
1FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
88%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
83%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1530 BC / 28
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2024 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs8.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+9.8
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE73
PERFORMANCE73
TALENT17
CONTINUITY88
DEFENSE58
PERFORMANCE58
TALENT18
CONTINUITY83
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
46MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HBUCKNELL—W 49-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HTEMPLE—W 38-112555+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HMEMPHIS#24W 56-44487777-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AUAB—W 41-18402020+38BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AAIR FORCE—W 34-711717+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HCHARLOTTE—W 51-17531212+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HNOTRE DAME#2L 14-51939595-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ARICE—L 10-24281919+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 28-7504141+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HTULANE—L 0-35556868-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AEAST CAROLINA—W 34-20474545+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 14AARMY#21W 31-1317373-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 27HOKLAHOMA—W 21-20957676-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB62TAL35PERF62RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
BLAKE HORVATHQB SERET
UNR—6880%+38—
5
BRAXTON WOODSONQB SERET
★3—4520%-50—
1
MYLES SLADEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
8
JACKSON GUTIERREZQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
KARSON LOPATIQB SORET
★2—00%——
2
TRE JONES IIIQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
CHARLES ROBINSONQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
J.P. DOYLEQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
DREW HALLQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB66TAL12PERF67RET91COMMITTEEn=5 · 9 METRICS · 21 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
46
ALEX TECZARB SERET
UNR—8123%+23—
45
DABA FOFANAFB SERET
★2—6310%——
28
AMIN HASSANRB SERET
★2—536%-9—
37
SHANE REYNOLDSRB SERET
UNR—413%-54—
28
MIKEY PEARSON IIIRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—50%——
38
LOGAN POINTFB SERET
★3—00%——
36
KENZO VITERIFB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
JACK SKIDMORERB SORET
UNR—00%——
26
MARCEL GASKINSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
21
TRAI FERGUSONRB SORET
UNR—00%——
20
TK HODGESRB JURET
UNR—00%——
23
TYLER BRADLEYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
41
STEFAN EGBEFB SERET
UNR—00%——
42
WILLIAM INGLEFB JURET
UNR—00%——
40
VIC LISTORTIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
MICHAEL BARROWRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
ANDRE GILBERT JR.RB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
PAUL LEWISRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
PROSPER AKANNARB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
ANDERSEN CARDOZARB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
JAI HUNDLEYFB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
44
AYDIN WOOLFOLKFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
JADYN JONESFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE44TAL42PERF44RET83ONE OWNERn=4 · 6 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
ELI HEIDENREICHWR SERET
UNR—8730%+37—
88
THOMAS SCULLYTE SERET
UNR—8651%-42—
24
BRANDON CHATMANWR SERET
UNR—8123%+13—
83
CODY HOWARDTE SERET
UNR—6927%-9—
82
NATHAN KENTWR SERET
★3—6657%+20—
85
JAKE NORRISTE SERET
UNR—6219%——
89
LUKE HUTCHISONWR SERET
UNR—5428%-59—
25
ISAIAH BRYANTWR SERET
UNR—485%——
84
REGIS VELEZWR SERET
UNR—4114%——
87
D.J. DONOVANTE SERET
UNR—272%——
87
THEO ELWELLTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—40%——
29
GAGE LEONARDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
JOSHUA GUERINWR SERET
UNR—01%——
80
ARNEL HEATHINGTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
43
GAVIN NOETE SERET
★3—00%——
47
JUSTICE RIDERTE JURET
UNR—00%——
0
KROY MYERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
47
BRAYLON GREENTE JURET
UNR—00%——
8
DREW TURNERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
81
CASEY SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
NOAH BULLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
0
KENDALL EVANSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
97
TYLER EDWARDSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
9
CHRIS VIVEROSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
88
JUSTIN BONSUWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
WAYNE PRITTSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
49
WILL MILESTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL61TAL10PERF61RET86n=6 · 3 METRICS · 16 OBS
▸DL51TAL24PERF51RET78n=11 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB42TAL17PERF42RET84n=7 · 11 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸DB59TAL14PERF59RET78n=9 · 6 METRICS · 38 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AUSTIN STULLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TALON FISHERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
WILL MILESHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ALEX ERBYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
BRADY MCDONOUGHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JACOB ASBECKHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DOM PURCELLHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
LANDON DOLHANCYKHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
MATT APPELHS RECRUITOTUNRUNR
JACKSON RUNYANHS RECRUITKUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIAS LARRYCOLORADO STATEDB★2★3
JACOB BUSICUCLADLUNR★3
WILL HARBOURELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
JOSHUA PENAELIGIBILITY UPG★2—
DONALD BERNIARD JR.ELIGIBILITY UPG★2—
XAVIER MCDONALDELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
CLAY CROMWELLELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
SAM GLOVERELIGIBILITY UPOTUNR—
EAVAN GIBBONSELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
JAYDEN UMBARGERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES30%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS30%5 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#153NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8175COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
06 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST60% BACK60th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG60% BACK60th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR86%86th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE