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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NC STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
ACC|DAVE DOEREN|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
NC STATE33 FPIACC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
71FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#266 BC / 21
BC RATIO
12%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.9-3.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.9
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HJAMES MADISON—W 24-135———NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8HGEORGIA STATE—W 41-73144+70BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AMARSHALL—W 37-20414444+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HVIRGINIA—W 35-21536868+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 28-23505252+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ACLEMSON#1L 7-41979898-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ASYRACUSE#15L 41-51617070+4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HFLORIDA STATE—W 47-28964646+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HWAKE FOREST—L 23-27505656+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ALOUISVILLE—W 52-10722525+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ANORTH CAROLINA—W 34-28803333+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HEAST CAROLINA—W 58-3391616+58BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
MATTHEW MCKAYQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
RYAN FINLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
WOODY CORNWELLQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
BAILEY HOCKMANQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
12
JORY PERKINSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
10
MICAH LEONQB —RET
UNR—00%——
7
MATTHEW MCKAYQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
REGGIE GALLASPY IIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
RICKY PERSON JR.RB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
38
WILL DABBSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
5
DAMONTAY RHEMRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
BRADY BODINERB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
NAKIA ROBINSON JR.RB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
39
DARIUS WALTONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
MARCELLUS SPELLRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
NAKIA ROBINSON, JR.RB —RET
★3—00%——
25
REGGIE GALLASPY, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
MARQUISE BRAXTONFB —RET
UNR—00%——
8
RICKY PERSON, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
37
TYLER DABBSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
STEPHEN LOUISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JAKOBI MEYERSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
3
KELVIN HARMONWR JURET
★3—00%——
6
CARY ANGELINETE SERET
★4—00%——
5
DEVIN CARTERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
28
DYLAN PARHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
C.J. RILEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
EMEKA EMEZIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
THAYER THOMASWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
TRENT PENNIXTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
42
DYLAN AUTENRIETHTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
THOMAS RUOCCHIOTE SERET
UNR—00%——
12
ERIC COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
39
MATTHEW ALDERFERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
DAMIEN DARDENTE —RET
★3—00%——
88
ADAM BOSELLITE —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PAYTON WILSONHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
RICKY PERSON JR.HS RECRUITRB★4UNR
ALIM MCNEILLHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
TAIYON PALMERHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DE'VON GRAVESHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DEVIN LEARYHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
JASIAH PROVILLONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DEVIN CARTERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSEPH BOLETEPELIHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
TANNER INGLEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MATT STEVENSNORTH CAROLINA CENTRALLBUNRUNR
JALAN MCCLENDONBAYLORQBUNRUNR
JAYLEN SAMUELSNFL DRAFT R5?UNR—
KENTAVIUS STREETNFL DRAFT R4DEUNR—
BRADLEY CHUBBNFL DRAFT R1DEUNR—
WILL RICHARDSONNFL DRAFT R4OTUNR—
JUSTIN JONESNFL DRAFT R3DTUNR—
B.J. HILLNFL DRAFT R3DTUNR—
NYHEIM HINESNFL DRAFT R4RBUNR—
WILL EASONNOT LISTEDRB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#26NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
6OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8680COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST69% BACK69th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG69% BACK69th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE