SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEVADA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|JAY NORVELL|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
NEVADA84 FPIMWC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
37FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#820 BC / 31
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HPORTLAND STATE—W 72-19————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8AVANDERBILT—L 10-41697171-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HOREGON STATE—W 37-35511515+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22ATOLEDO—L 44-63424949-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29AAIR FORCE—W 28-2573535+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HFRESNO STATE#18L 3-21428888-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HBOISE STATE#23L 27-31537979-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AHAWAI'I—W 40-22132121+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HSAN DIEGO STATE—W 28-24436464-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HCOLORADO STATE—W 49-10462222+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 21-12361212+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AUNLV—L 29-34311919+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET94NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
CRISTIAN SOLANOQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TY GANGIQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
CARSON STRONGQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
MALIK HENRYQB JURET
★4—00%——
10
GRIFFIN DAHNQB SORET
UNR—00%——
16
ZACH LEWISQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
RUSSELL BOOZERB JURET
UNR—00%——
2
DEVONTE LEERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
25
ROGER NEALRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
BLAKE WRIGHTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
KELTON MOORERB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
JAXSON KINCAIDERB SERET
★2—00%——
35
TOA TAUARB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
39
AUNDRE CARTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
AUBREY WASHINGTONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
ROMEO DOUBSWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
COLE TURNERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
KALEB FOSSUMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
IAN ZAMUDIOWR SORET
★2—00%——
10
BEN PUTMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
MCLANE MANNIXWR SERET
UNR—00%——
31
REAGAN ROBERSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
49
TRAE CARTER-WELLSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
14
DOMINIC CHRISTIANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
BRENDAN O'LEARY-ORANGEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
TREVION ARMSTRONGWR SORET
★3—00%——
4
ELIJAH COOKSWR SERET
★2—00%——
80
JACOB DRAHOSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
86
RYAN BROCKSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
28
TERRELL JOHNSONTE SERET
★2—00%——
87
WILL BARNARDWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
CARSON WALTERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
HAYDEN WERBECKESTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
JAKE RAMSAYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
ALEX POURDANESHTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
REESE NEVILLEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
DRU JACOBSWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
81
THEO GOODWINWR —RET
★2—00%——
20
ROBERT FERRELLWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
KORI COLLONSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSIAH BRADLEYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TOA TAUAHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TEYJOHN HERRINGTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
COLE TURNERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ROMEO DOUBSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
AARON FROSTHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
KEVIN COBLENTZHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CHRISTIAN SWINTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHARLES ROSSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JADEN DEDMANHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANDREW CELISWAGNERWRUNRUNR
MARCUS LUCASSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATEDB★2UNR
JORDAN SILVAKENT STATEDEUNRUNR
AUSTIN CORBETTNFL DRAFT R2OLUNR—
WYATT DEMPSNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ELIJAH MOODYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
AHKI MUHAMMADNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TUCKER MELCHERNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
RICKY THOMAS JR.NOT LISTEDDEUNR—
RYAN MACKNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#82NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7953COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST85% BACK85th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG85% BACK85th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR94%94th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE