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HOME›TEAMS›NEVADA›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|KEN WILSON|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
NEVADA123 FPIMWC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
24FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
12%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1150 BC / 14
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-10ACTUALvs2.8-9.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-12.1
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE5
PERFORMANCE5
TALENT53
CONTINUITY12
DEFENSE4
PERFORMANCE4
TALENT34
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 23-1271212-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3HTEXAS STATE—W 38-14362323-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HINCARNATE WORD—L 41-55————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17AIOWA—L 0-27748080-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AAIR FORCE—L 20-4805656-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HCOLORADO STATE—L 14-172755-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15AHAWAI'I—L 16-312622+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 7-23183636-32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ASAN JOSÉ STATE—L 28-35253737-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HBOISE STATE—L 3-41486161-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HFRESNO STATE#24L 14-41445555-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AUNLV—L 22-27152222-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB32TAL93PERF32RET61ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
NATE COXQB SERET
UNR—7661%-36—
16
SHANE ILLINGWORTHQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★36739%-20FELL
13
JAKE BARLAGEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JONAH CHONGQB JURET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
17
BAYLOR HORNINGQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
AJ BIANCOQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB39TAL53PERF39RET96ONE OWNERn=2 · 9 METRICS · 14 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
35
TOA TAUARB SERET
★3—9970%-9—
2
DEVONTE LEERB SERET
★2—7322%+19—
32
WESLEY KOMMERRB JURET
UNR—415%-53—
CROSS PATTONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—363%-49—
22
JESHUA FIXELRB SERET
UNR—50%——
23
JACQUES BADOLATO-BIRDSELLRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾WR/TE20TAL43PERF25RET15ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
BJ CASTEELWR SENO SNAPS
★3—9328%0—
15
DALEVON CAMPBELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3★39126%0HELD
87
JACOB MUNROTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—8851%-32—
14
SPENCER CURTISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—8421%-8—
20
JAMAAL BELLWR SERET
★3★37919%-25HELD
81
CARLTON BROWN IIITE FRTRUE FR
★3—6423%-39—
86
DYSON FRANKTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—5414%——
8
TYRESE MACKWR SERET
UNR—525%-35—
89
COOPER SHULTSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—448%——
85
CAMERON ZEIDLERTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—324%——
0
VICTOR SNOWWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★3261%—EMERGED
84
JEREMIAH GRADOWITZWR JURET
UNR—180%——
11
CARLOS SANDYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—70%——
86
DAZURE PAGGETTWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
KOLA BABALOLATE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
TERRELL JOHNSONTE SERET
★2—00%——
44
KEVIN KREMERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
AARON SMITHWR JURET
★3—00%——
19
ELIJAH BARCLAYWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
9
KEENAN SPEER-JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
7
MARQUIS ASHLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
LUCAS PRENDERGRASTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
BRONSON BURROWTE FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
88
TYLER CLARKWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
▸OL33TAL59PERF33RET0n=8 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL42TAL39PERF42RET37n=10 · 8 METRICS · 53 OBS
▸LB30TAL48PERF30RET66n=5 · 11 METRICS · 33 OBS
▸DB27TAL28PERF27RET79n=9 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAMERON SAMPSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHRIS SMALLEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
ELIJAH BARCLAYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
IKE NNAKENYIHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
KEEKEE MCQUEENHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JONATHAN MALDONADOHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
AJ BIANCOHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
KEENAN SPEER-JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
KOLA BABALOLAHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
THOMAS HANEYHS RECRUITIOL★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT35 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANGEL KINGCOLORADO STATES★2UNR
TORY HORTONCOLORADO STATEWR★3UNR
AVERY MORROWCOLORADO STATERB★3UNR
TEIVIS TUIOTICOLORADO STATEDL★3★3
CLAY MILLENCOLORADO STATEQB★3★3
MELQUAN STOVALLCOLORADO STATEWR★3★3
DANIEL GRZESIAKUTAH STATELBUNR★3
JACK POWERSEAST CAROLINALBUNR★3
GRAY DAVISCOLORADO STATEOL★3UNR
DAIYAN HENLEYWASHINGTON STATELB★2UNR
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#115NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8189COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST29% BACK29th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG29% BACK29th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR61%61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST79%79th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE