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HOME›TEAMS›NEW MEXICO›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|DANNY GONZALES|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
NEW MEXICO120 FPIMWC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
44%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
66%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-3IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1280 BC / 14
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.3-7.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.8
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE66
PERFORMANCE66
TALENT53
CONTINUITY44
DEFENSE4
PERFORMANCE4
TALENT34
CONTINUITY66
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ATEXAS A&M—L 10-52988989-82BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HTENNESSEE TECH—W 56-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 16HNEW MEXICO STATE—L 17-27174545-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AMASSACHUSETTS—W 34-314566+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AWYOMING—L 26-35114242-35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HSAN JOSÉ STATE—L 24-52384242-35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HHAWAI'I—W 42-212088-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANEVADA—L 24-342811+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HUNLV—L 14-56145555-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ABOISE STATE—L 14-42486767-60BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AFRESNO STATE—W 25-17445555-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HUTAH STATE—L 41-44252020-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL29PERF53RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DYLAN HOPKINSQB SEPORTAL · UAB
★3★38081%+28HELD
4
DEVON DAMPIERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★35418%+24HELD
7
DC TABSCOTTQB SEPORTAL · APP STATE
★3★3142%—HELD
87
JUSTIN HOLADAYQB JURET
UNR—00%-52—
16
ISAIAH CHAVEZQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
AIDAN ARMENTAQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB65TAL71PERF65RET21ONE OWNERn=4 · 4 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JACORY CROSKEY-MERRITTRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★38755%+32EMERGED
2
ANDREW HENRYRB SEPORTAL · UL MONROE
★3★35916%+21HELD
9
SHEROD WHITERB SERET
★3—5412%-50—
28
DORIAN LEWISRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—468%+1—
20
CHRISTIAN WASHINGTONRB SERET
★3★3365%-46HELD
23
ZACH VIGILRB SORET
★2—334%-58—
27
JAYLEN MORGANRB SERET
★2—00%——
24
EZRA SEXTONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
JIMMY GALLEGOSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
REI IWAIRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE41TAL39PERF41RET29ONE OWNERn=7 · 7 METRICS · 40 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
CALEB MEDFORDWR SEPORTAL · TCU
★3★38323%+27HELD
80
DESNA WASHINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★38323%-7HELD
8
JEREMIAH HIXONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—8223%+12—
85
TRACE BRUCKLERTE SERET
★3★37946%+24HELD
84
WYATT MCCLOURTE SONO SNAPS
UNR★37135%—EMERGED
11
ANDREW ERICKSONWR SERET
UNR—6814%-11—
9
RYAN DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—6612%+17—
15
LUKE WYSONGWR SERET
★3★3453%-12HELD
83
EVERETT HUNTERTE SENO SNAPS
★3★3448%—HELD
19
MAGNUS GEERSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—395%——
41
CONNOR WITTHOFTTE SERET
★2—324%——
18
KAYDIN POPEWR FRPORTAL · MISSISSIPPI STATE
★3★3251%—HELD
47
CALEB MARRATE JURET
UNR—222%——
86
KADE ZIMMERMANWR JURET
UNR—60%——
2
JAKE GODFREYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
14
DUECE JONESWR JURET
★3★300%+34HELD
3
JACE TAYLORWR SERET
★3—00%——
20
JACOB TRUSSELLTE SORET
★3—00%——
82
AUSTIN ERICKSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
17
MICHAEL BUCKLEYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
ELIJAH SPAULDINGWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
10
EVAN WYSONGWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
XAVIER VANWR JUPORTAL · SAN DIEGO
★3—00%——
98
MAX LANTZSCHTE JUPORTAL · EAST CAROLINA
UNR★200%—EMERGED
7
NIC TRUJILLOWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
46
SIR ROBINSONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL60TAL55PERF60RET51n=6 · 3 METRICS · 18 OBS
▸DL24TAL35PERF24RET48n=8 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸LB16TAL23PERF17RET82n=5 · 11 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB32TAL38PERF32RET75n=10 · 6 METRICS · 52 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS11 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HUNTER WIGGINSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DEVON DAMPIERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
MATTHEW TOILOLOHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
DERECK MOOREHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
SKYLAR COOKHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAYDEN WILSONHS RECRUITLB★2UNR
JAKE GODFREYHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
AUSTIN ACKELHS RECRUITLBUNRUNR
NIC TRUJILLOHS RECRUITWRUNRUNR
HYRUM HATCHHS RECRUITLSUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN14 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRAVIS GRAYCOLORADOOT★3★3
NOA POLA-GATESNEBRASKAS★4★4
BRYSON WASHINGTONOKLAHOMAS★4★4
D'ARCO PERKINS-MCALLISTERTCUS★4★4
CALEB MEDFORDTCUWR★3★3
GABRIEL LOPEZWASHINGTON STATEEDGE★3★3
MARVIN COVINGTONTCUCB★3★3
DC TABSCOTTAPP STATEQB★3★3
ANDREW HENRYUL MONROERB★3★3
SAM TELESAGEORGETOWNOCUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT38 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AJ ODUMSUTEPCB★2★2
A.J. HAULCYHOUSTONS★3★4
CODY MOONSAN DIEGO STATELBUNRUNR
RONALD WILSONINCARNATE WORDS★3★3
JAKE SALTONSTALLNORTH DAKOTADEUNRUNR
DION HUNTERCINCINNATILB★3★2
JADEN PHILLIPSSAM HOUSTONDL★3★3
GEORDON PORTERUCONNWR★3★3
ANTONIO HUNTTENNESSEE TECHSUNR★3
CJ MONTESFORDHAMQB★3★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES58%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS39%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#128NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8240COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1417 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST31% BACK31th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG31% BACK31th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR51%51th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST75%75th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE