SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEW MEXICO STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|DOUG MARTIN|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
NEW MEXICO STATE100 FPICUSA · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
6FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1290 BC / 10
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
28MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AARIZONA STATE—L 31-37854747-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9ANEW MEXICO—W 30-28231616+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HTROY—L 24-27264949-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HUTEP—W 41-14700+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AARKANSAS—L 24-42835151-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AAPP STATE—L 31-45215555-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AGEORGIA SOUTHERN—W 35-27281010+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HARKANSAS STATE—L 21-37414848-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ATEXAS STATE—W 45-35822+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ALOUISIANA—L 34-47161010+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HIDAHO—W 17-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14DEC 2HSOUTH ALABAMA—W 22-17341717+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
CONNER CRAMERQB —RET
UNR—00%——
17
TYLER ROGERSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
14
DOMINIC JOHNSONQB —RET
UNR—00%——
12
NICK JEANTYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
JEREMY HODGEQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
MATT ROMEROQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET69NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
CHRISTIAN GIBSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JASON HUNTLEYRB SERET
★2—00%——
3
LARRY ROSE IIIRB —RET
UNR—00%——
7
ROYCE CALDWELLRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
ANTHONY MUSEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JOSH AGANONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
13
JOHNATHAN BOONEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
IZAIAH LOTTIEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
GREGORY HOGANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
4
CASSIUS CORLEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
16
JALEEL SCOTTWR —RET
UNR—00%——
2
OJ CLARKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
DREW DANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
SOL RASCONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
ANDRE BODISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
SHEA HOLEBROOK JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
ROBERT DOWNS IIIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
ERIC MARSHTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
17
CACHE TARVERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
TROY POSEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
TERRAY NELSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
ANTONIO GOMEZWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
JAMEER ANCHETAWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
MIGUEL PROVENCIOTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
BROCK MARLATTTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
BRANDON GONZALEZTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
ISAIAH MCINTYREWR —RET
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLON MASCORROHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOSH ADKINSHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JEREMY HODGEHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
XANDER YARBEROUGHHS RECRUITTE★2UNR
GAVEN SWINSONHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
MATTHEW YOUNGHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
TREVOR BROHARDHS RECRUITOLB★2UNR
MARCUS BUCKLEYHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
JOSH FOLEYHS RECRUITAPB★2UNR
JALEN GUERREROHS RECRUITOTUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAMUEL OYENUGANOT LISTEDDBUNR—
ROBERT WAGNERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
XAVIER HALLNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
TRE WILCOXENNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JERRION BURTONNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DALTON ROCHANOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ANDREW KENNEYNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
THOMAS MCGWIRENOT LISTEDOLUNR—
RODNEY BUTLERNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
NOAH BROWNNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#129NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7872COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE