SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2025 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEW MEXICO STATE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|TONY SANCHEZ|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
NEW MEXICO STATE126 FPICUSA · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
6FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
31%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
54%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-12IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1260 BC / 10
BC RATIO
7%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs4.3-7.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.0
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE3
PERFORMANCE3
TALENT39
CONTINUITY31
DEFENSE41
PERFORMANCE41
TALENT32
CONTINUITY54
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
31MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HBRYANT—W 19-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6HTULSA—W 21-14392424-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13ALOUISIANA TECH—L 14-49164444-34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27ANEW MEXICO—L 20-3854747-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 2HSAM HOUSTON—W 37-101111+9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 14ALIBERTY—L 27-30392525-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 22HMISSOURI STATE—L 17-2472121-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 16-35285050-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HKENNESAW STATE—L 21-2443535-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15ATENNESSEE—L 9-42898787-77BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AUTEP—W 34-312755+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 24-312077+3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB25TAL38PERF25RET1ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
LOGAN FIFEQB SEPORTAL · MONTANA
★2★39178%+19ROSE
14
ADAM DAMANTEQB JUNO SNAPS
★2★26621%—HELD
15
PARKER AWADQB JURET
★3—141%-17—
23
JEFF DAVISONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JAYLEN PATTERSONQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
28
PAUL CIEREMANSQB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾RB32TAL22PERF32RET19ROTATIONn=3 · 9 METRICS · 23 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KADARIUS CALLOWAYRB SEPORTAL · CALIFORNIA
★4★38843%+2FELL
8
DIJON STANLEYRB SEPORTAL · UTAH
★4★38638%+12FELL
21
ISAIAH RUDISONRB SERET
UNR—6617%-33—
16
LARENZO MCMILLANRB SERET
UNR—212%+37—
30
DAILAN GOODMANRB SORET
UNR—111%——
20
TIM GANSRB SERET
UNR—60%-25—
28
JALEN BROWNRB JURET
★2—00%——
34
DAVID BARELARB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
ROSCOE BURTONRB SERET
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE43TAL51PERF39RET44ONE OWNERn=8 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
DONOVAN FAUPELWR SERET
★2★39526%-10ROSE
8
GAVIN HARRISTE SENO SNAPS
★3★39467%+29HELD
0
PJ JOHNSON IIIWR SERET
★3★38519%+16HELD
1
TK KINGWR SENO SNAPS
★3—8117%+27—
6
BRODIE MALONE-BRADFORDWR SONO SNAPS
★3—7413%-13—
7
TJ PRIDEWR JURET
UNR—7011%-26—
3
SHAWN BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—689%-57—
15
ADAM PARKSTE JURET
★3★26217%—FELL
86
LUKAS UNGARTE SEPORTAL · STANFORD
★4★35713%—FELL
6
JACKSON OWENSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★2564%-14FELL
9
TERRIONE GRAVESWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—341%——
18
JOSHUA GOINESTE JUPORTAL · TULANE
★3★3171%—HELD
86
JERRY LYDIATTTE JURET
UNR—141%-38—
25
JAYDEN BELLWR JURET
★2—00%——
11
AJ WILLIAMS IIIWR JUPORTAL · MARY HARDIN-BAYLOR
UNR★300%—EMERGED
88
TREVOR STEPHENSTE JURET
★2—00%——
81
ALLEN ORTIZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
29
KADEN TREVINOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
IZEYAH WRIGHTWR SORET
★3—00%——
26
ISAIAH GRIFFINWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL33TAL31PERF33RET28n=8 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL41TAL40PERF41RET36n=8 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸LB30TAL35PERF30RET55n=7 · 11 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸DB47TAL26PERF47RET68n=8 · 6 METRICS · 46 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS9 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRODRICK MALONEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAYLEN PATTERSONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
RAYLON CARTERHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
SAM GARCIAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ZAIDEN DAVISHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
GAVIN JONESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
DAVID BARKERHS RECRUITP★3UNR
JR HECKLINSKIHS RECRUITIOL★2UNR
BRAYDYN SAGEHS RECRUITLS★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN16 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LOGAN FIFEMONTANAQB★2★3
DIJON STANLEYUTAHRB★4★3
KADARIUS CALLOWAYCALIFORNIARB★4★3
JOSHUA GOINESTULANETE★3★3
GABE PETERSONUTAH STATEEDGE★3★3
MA'KYI LEENORTH TEXASOTUNR★3
LORENZO SMITHSOUTH ALABAMASUNR★3
AJ WILLIAMSMARY HARDIN-BAYLORWRUNR★3
LARRY JONES IIILIBERTYEDGE★3★3
JANIK OGUNLADEFLORIDA A&MOTUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT41 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAYDEN BARNESCINCINNATISUNR★3
AJ VAIPULUWASHINGTON STATEOL★3★3
DA'MARCUS CROSBY IIVIRGINIADBUNR★3
BUDDHA PELETIWASHINGTON STATEDE★2★3
SHAMARR JACKSONAPP STATEOLUNR★3
NAKI FAHINAUTAH STATEDT★3★3
SHIYAZH PETEKENTUCKYOLUNR★4
MALAKI TA'ASEWASHINGTON STATEDE★3★3
JUSTIN BEADLESLOUISVILLELB★3★3
SETH MCGOWANKENTUCKYRB★4★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES80%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS49%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#126NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8276COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
2133 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
27TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
6
10
5
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +8 W
IMPROVED9 OF 27
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST34% BACK34th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG34% BACK34th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR28%28th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST68%68th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE