SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH CAROLINA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
ACC|MACK BROWN|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
NORTH CAROLINA43 FPIACC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
88FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-20IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1413 BC / 24
BC RATIO
34%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+4.8
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AVIRGINIA TECH—L 10-17724747+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HGEORGIA STATE—W 59-17264545+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HVIRGINIA—W 59-39625858-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AGEORGIA TECH—L 22-45772626+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HDUKE—W 38-7571313+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HFLORIDA STATE—L 25-35866060-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HMIAMI—W 45-42917676-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ANOTRE DAME#8L 34-44929292-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HWAKE FOREST#15W 58-55557171-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11APITTSBURGH#13L 23-30749494-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HWOFFORD—W 34-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 26ANC STATE#20L 30-34769090-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
DRAKE MAYEQB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
JACOLBY CRISWELLQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
7
SAM HOWELLQB JURET
★4—00%——
14
JEFFERSON BOAZQB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
16
RUSSELL TABORQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET17NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
TY CHANDLERRB SEPORTAL · TENNESSEE
★4★400%—HELD
24
BRITISH BROOKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
CALEB HOODRB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
26
JOSH HENDERSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
21
ELIJAH GREENRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
26
DJ JONESRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
37
KAMARRO EDMONDSRB SONO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
GARRETT WALSTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
88
KAMARI MORALESTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
4
JUSTIN OLSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
18
EMERY SIMMONSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
81
JOHN COPENHAVERTE SERET
★3—00%——
12
STEPHEN GOSNELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
J.J. JONESWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
18
BRYSON NESBITTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
11
JOSH DOWNSWR JURET
★4—00%——
89
KHAFRE BROWNWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
3
ANTOINE GREENWR SERET
★4—00%——
3
BEAU CORRALESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
89
GRAY GOODWYNWR JURET
UNR—00%——
35
CARSON BURGESSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
13
TYLEE CRAFTWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
KOBE PAYSOURWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
85
KENDALL KARRTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
GAVIN BLACKWELLWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
80
WILL CROWLEYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
29
JEFFREY SATURDAYWR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
LANDON STEVENSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
20
BROOKS MILLERWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
84
CYRUS ROGERSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
THOMAS FLYNNWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEESHAWN SILVERHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
DRAKE MAYEHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
RARA DILLWORTHHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
POWER ECHOLSHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JAHVAREE RITZIEHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
DEANDRE BOYKINSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
GAVIN BLACKWELLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
GABE STEPHENSHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
ELI SUTTONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KAMARRO EDMONDSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN1 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TY CHANDLERTENNESSEERB★4★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACE RUDERNORTH TEXASLB★4★3
KHADRY JACKSONGEORGIA SOUTHERNLB★3★3
WELTON SPOTTSVILLEKENNESAW STATES★3★3
XACH GILLTEMPLEDL★3★3
RONTAVIUS GROVESTEXAS STATEWR★3★3
PATRICE RENERUTGERSDB★3★3
CHAZZ SURRATTNFL DRAFT R3LB★3—
MICHAEL CARTERNFL DRAFT R4RB★3—
DAZZ NEWSOMENFL DRAFT R6WR★3—
DYAMI BROWNNFL DRAFT R3WR★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#14NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
13OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9104COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
121 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
11
6
3
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.3 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +4 W
IMPROVED7 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE