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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTHERN ILLINOIS›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|THOMAS HAMMOCK|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
NORTHERN ILLINOIS107 FPIMWC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
24FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1080 BC / 19
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs4.5-7.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.3
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HILLINOIS STATE—W 24-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AUTAH#16L 17-35669191-79BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ANEBRASKA—L 8-44835959-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AVANDERBILT—L 18-24631919-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HBALL STATE—L 20-27133434-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AOHIO—W 39-36156363-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AMIAMI (OH)—L 24-27182222-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HAKRON—W 49-01011+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ACENTRAL MICHIGAN—L 10-48283535-23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 13ATOLEDO—W 31-283412120BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 19HEASTERN MICHIGAN—L 17-45122222-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 26HWESTERN MICHIGAN—W 17-14353131-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
ROSS BOWERSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
7
ANTHONY THOMPSONQB JURET
★3—00%——
15
MARCUS CHILDERSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
MARIANO VALENTIQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
RAHVEON VALENTINERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
22
RONDARIUS GREGORYRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
JORDAN NETTLESRB JURET
★3—00%——
43
BRETT BOSTADFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
MARCUS JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
TRE HARBISONRB SERET
★3—00%——
34
MALIK WINSTONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
46
SHAQUAN OLIVERFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
44
COREY LERSCHTE SERET
★2—00%——
89
MITCHELL BRINKMANTE SERET
★2—00%——
87
MAXIMILIAN THROWERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
RODNEY HALLWR SORET
★3—00%——
19
DENNIS ROBINSONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
37
JERON STARKSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
3
TYRICE RICHIEWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
COLE TUCKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
MICHAEL LOVEWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
SPENCER TEARSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
DANIEL CRAWFORDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
TYRICE RICHIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
RYAN GIBBONSWR JURET
★2—00%——
83
LIAM SORAGHANTE SERET
★3—00%——
13
LEON PAYNEWR SORET
★2★200%—HELD
80
MIKE DEHAANTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
JYRAN MITCHELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
81
MATT POLLACKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
TRISTEN TEWESTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
MESSIAH TRAVISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
9
FABIAN MCCRAYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
MOHAMED TOUREWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
48
MIKE CERNIGLIA JR.TE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
DYLAN LOZEAUTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
9
NICK REMPERTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
87
MAXIMILLIAN THROWERTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
FABIAN MCCRAYWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
FABIAN MCCRAYHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JUSTIN CLARKHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ROMEL GOSTONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MARIANO VALENTIHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
MOHAMED TOUREHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
LEIF ENGSTRANDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MICHAEL LOVEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
CAM MATTOXHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
TYRIK HENDERSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CHAMAAR SMITHHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT10 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SUTTON SMITHNFL DRAFT R6DEUNR—
TY HARMSTONELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
TIFONTE HUNTELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
ALBERT SMALLSELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JAUAN WESLEYELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JALEN EMBRYELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
MAALIK TODDELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
D.J. BROWNELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JOSH CORCORANELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
JADEN HUFFELIGIBILITY UP?UNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#108NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8079COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
27TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
6
10
5
4
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-4 TO +8 W
IMPROVED9 OF 27
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST84% BACK84th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG84% BACK84th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE