SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH TEXAS›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|SETH LITTRELL|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
NORTH TEXAS96 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
42FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-8IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#800 BC / 18
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.3-5.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.1
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HNORTHWESTERN STATE—W 44-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11ASMU—L 12-35556666-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HUAB—L 6-40346767-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25ALOUISIANA TECH—L 17-24451717+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AMISSOURI—L 35-48684747-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HMARSHALL—L 21-49366161-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23HLIBERTY—L 26-3576363-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30ARICE—W 30-242833+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ASOUTHERN MISS—W 38-14391111+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HUTEP—W 20-17123030-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 49-74644+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HUTSA—W 45-23445656-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET55NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
AUSTIN AUNEQB JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
17
KASON MARTINQB SORET
★3—00%——
3
AMANI GILMOREQB FRRET
★3—00%——
18
COLE JOHNSONQB FRRET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
AYO ADEYIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
44
DAWSON NOBRIGARB SORET
UNR—00%——
23
ISAIAH JOHNSONRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
3
DEANDRE TORREYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
0
IKAIKA RAGSDALERB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
20
B.K. JACKSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
27
OSCAR ADAWAY IIIRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
48
BRYCE DRUMMONDFB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
CALEB OSUOFARB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
JASON PIRTLETE SERET
★2—00%——
20
COLE MCCRARYTE SORET
UNR—00%——
4
JYAIRE SHORTERWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
BRYSON JACKSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
2
RODERIC BURNSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TOMMY BUSHWR JUPORTAL · GEORGIA
★4★400%—HELD
85
DAVID CHAPPLEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
ASHER ALBERDINGTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
13
KHATIB LYLESWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
9
DEONTE SIMPSONWR SORET
★3—00%——
8
DAMON WARD JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
DETRAVEON BROWNWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
87
JAKE ROBERTSTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
ZHIGHLIL MCMILLANWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
42
WILL KUEHNEWR SERET
★3—00%——
18
DORIAN MORRISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
40
EDWARD BAUTISTATE FRRET
★2—00%——
82
FINN CORWINWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
30
VAR'KEYES GUMMSTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
CALEB JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
84
CHRISTIAN LEETE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
81
TROY EDWARDS JR.WR JURET
UNR—00%——
85
EVAN GREENEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CALEB JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DILLION WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
VAR'KEYES GUMMSHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
GABE BLAIRHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HAROLD WESTHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BK JACKSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BRYCE DRUMMONDHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ZHIGHLIL MCMILLANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
RAYVON CRUMHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
TRENT WARDHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACE RUDERNORTH CAROLINAQB★4★3
JACOB FARRELLOKLAHOMA STATEOT★3★3
TOMMY BUSHGEORGIAWR★4★4
ENOCH JACKSONARKANSASDLUNR★3
JOHN DAVISTEXAS TECHCB★3★3
GREG FRANCISUNLVCB★3★3
LOGAN WILSONUL MONROECBUNR★3
RIDGE TEXADAMCNEESECB★2★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRE SIGGERSSMURB★3★3
AUSTIN OGUNMAKINSTEPHEN F. AUSTINWR★3★3
JASON BEANKANSASQB★3★3
ASHER FROWKENT STATEDLUNRUNR
JAELON DARDENNFL DRAFT R4WR★3—
DEION HAIR-GRIFFINELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
NIC SMITHELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
EVAN JOHNSONELIGIBILITY UPRB★2—
CHRIS THORNTONELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
ZACH WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPPK★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#80NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8359COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1018 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST52% BACK52th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG52% BACK52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR55%55th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE