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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NOTRE DAME›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
FBS INDEPENDENTS|BRIAN KELLY|—RECORD12-0|CONF—
NOTRE DAME#5 AP 7 FPIIND · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1014 BC / 27
BC RATIO
48%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-0ACTUALvs10.0-2.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+16.5
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HMICHIGAN#14W 24-17959393-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HBALL STATE—W 24-162199+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HVANDERBILT—W 22-17697171+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AWAKE FOREST—W 56-27505656+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HSTANFORD—W 38-17888181+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AVIRGINIA TECH—W 45-23795858+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HPITTSBURGH—W 19-14735353+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ANAVY—W 44-22172222+69BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ANORTHWESTERN#21W 31-21694848+43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HFLORIDA STATE—W 42-13964646+45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HSYRACUSE#15W 36-3617070+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AUSC—W 24-17987474+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
IAN BOOKQB SERET
★3—00%——
3
BRANDON WIMBUSHQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
PHIL JURKOVECQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
17
NOLAN HENRYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
J.D. CARNEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
COLE CAPENQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET23NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
JAHMIR SMITHRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
2
DEXTER WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TONY JONES JR.RB JURET
★4—00%——
42
KEENAN SWEENEYRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
C'BO FLEMISTERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
MICK ASSAFRB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
CAMERON EKANAYAKERB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
LEO ALBANORB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
JAFAR ARMSTRONGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
83
CHASE CLAYPOOLWR SERET
★4—00%——
84
COLE KMETTE JURET
★4—00%——
82
NIC WEISHARTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
MILES BOYKINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
CHRIS FINKEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
ALIZE MACKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
KEVIN AUSTIN JRWR —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
89
BROCK WRIGHTTE SERET
★4—00%——
3
AVERY DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
4
KEVIN AUSTIN JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
MICHAEL YOUNGWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
JOHN LAGERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
27
ARION SHINAVERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JAVON MCKINLEYWR SERET
★4—00%——
17
ISAIAH ROBERTSONWR JURET
UNR★400%—EMERGED
49
JACK HENIGETE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
MICAH JONESWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
48
XAVIER LEZYNSKITE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
GEORGE TAKACSTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
LAWRENCE KEYS IIIWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
BRADEN LENZYWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
43
GREG MAILEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
MATT SALERNOWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
TOMMY TREMBLETE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
1
JOE WILKINS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
ALIZÉ MACKTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HOUSTON GRIFFITHHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
KEVIN AUSTINHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
PHIL JURKOVECHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
SHAYNE SIMONHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
JACK LAMBHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
DERRIK ALLENHS RECRUITS★4UNR
JAYSON ADEMILOLAHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
BRADEN LENZYHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
GEORGE TAKACSHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
LAWRENCE KEYS IIIHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAY HAYESGEORGIADLUNRUNR
CJ SANDERSSMUWRUNRUNR
NICK WATKINSHOUSTONCBUNRUNR
MIKE MCGLINCHEYNFL DRAFT R1OLUNR—
DURHAM SMYTHENFL DRAFT R4TEUNR—
QUENTON NELSONNFL DRAFT R1OLUNR—
EQUANIMEOUS ST. BROWNNFL DRAFT R6WRUNR—
FREDDY CANTEENELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DEON MCINTOSHELIGIBILITY UPRB★3—
C.J. HOLMESELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#10NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
14OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9005COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST62% BACK62th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG62% BACK62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE