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HOME›TEAMS›NOTRE DAME›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
FBS INDEPENDENTS|MARCUS FREEMAN|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
NOTRE DAME#14 AP 10 FPIIND · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
54%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
83%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1219 BC / 24
BC RATIO
72%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs10.6-1.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+22.5
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE96
PERFORMANCE96
TALENT88
CONTINUITY54
DEFENSE100
PERFORMANCE100
TALENT85
CONTINUITY83
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26HNAVY—W 42-311515+80BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 2HTENNESSEE STATE—W 56-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9ANC STATE#21W 45-24737171+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 41-17955+90BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HOHIO STATE#10L 14-17999898-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ADUKE—W 21-14527878+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ALOUISVILLE#19L 20-33807575+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HUSC—W 48-20957878+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HPITTSBURGH—W 58-7723232+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ACLEMSON#20L 23-31978484+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HWAKE FOREST—W 45-7502828+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ASTANFORD—W 56-23741919+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 29HOREGON STATE—W 40-8618686+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB71TAL97PERF71RET0ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
SAM HARTMANQB SEPORTAL · WAKE FOREST
★3★48187%+26ROSE
9
STEVE ANGELIQB SERET
★4★34713%+40FELL
3
KENNY MINCHEYQB SENO SNAPS
★4★441%—HELD
25
DYLAN DEVEZINQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB87TAL84PERF87RET68ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
AUDRIC ESTIMERB JURET
★4—9350%+25—
4
JEREMIYAH LOVERB JUNO SNAPS
★4—7019%+8—
6
GI'BRAN PAYNERB SERET
★4★36818%-26FELL
24
JADARIAN PRICERB JURET
★4—6112%+17—
27
CHASE KETTERERRB SERET
UNR—121%——
33
SAM ASSAFRB SERET
UNR—60%——
26
MICAH BELLRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
22
DEVYN FORDRB SEPORTAL · PENN STATE
★4★300%-16FELL
▾WR/TE77TAL82PERF76RET71ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
MITCHELL EVANSTE SERET
★3—8733%+40—
19
HOLDEN STAESTE SERET
★4★38128%-19FELL
11
RICO FLORES JR.WR SENO SNAPS
★4★37521%+10FELL
18
TOBIAS MERRIWEATHERWR SERET
★4★37320%+33FELL
9
ELI RARIDONTE SERET
★4—6918%-43—
4
CHRIS TYREEWR SERET
★4★36916%+25FELL
1
JADEN GREATHOUSEWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—6715%+6—
8
JAYDEN THOMASWR SERET
★4★36615%+7FELL
87
COOPER FLANAGANTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—6112%——
6
JORDAN FAISONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—579%+37—
38
DAVIS SHERWOODTE SERET
UNR—569%——
4
DEION COLZIEWR SERET
★4★3312%+33FELL
29
MATT SALERNOWR SERET
UNR—291%——
9
PRESTON ZINTERTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★3171%—HELD
16
BRAYLON JAMESWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★4171%—HELD
37
HENRY COOKWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
CHARLIE SELNATE SERET
UNR—00%——
26
CHASE DIXONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
32
JUSTIN FISHERTE SERET
★4—00%——
84
KEVIN BAUMANTE SERET
★4—00%——
28
GRIFFIN EIFERTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JACK POLIANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
HAKIM SANFOTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
ANDREW YANOSHAKTE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
LEO SCHEIDLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
KK SMITHWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
42
HENRY GARRITYTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
ALEX WHITMANWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL67TAL92PERF67RET52n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL71TAL90PERF71RET82n=11 · 8 METRICS · 52 OBS
▸LB63TAL87PERF63RET95n=4 · 11 METRICS · 35 OBS
▸DB67TAL81PERF67RET80n=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHARLES JAGUSAHHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JEREMIYAH LOVEHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
CHRISTIAN GRAYHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DRAYK BOWENHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
BRAYLON JAMESHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JADEN GREATHOUSEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAIDEN AUSBERRYHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KENNY MINCHEYHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
BRENAN VERNONHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
BOUBACAR TRAOREHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM HARTMANWAKE FORESTQB★3★4
KALEB SMITHVIRGINIA TECHWR★3★4
JAVONTAE JEAN-BAPTISTEOHIO STATELB★4★4
THOMAS HARPEROKLAHOMA STATES★3★3
ANTONIO CARTER IIRHODE ISLANDCBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DREW PYNEARIZONA STATEQB★4★3
LOGAN DIGGSLSURB★3★4
JACOB LACEYOKLAHOMADL★4★4
OSITADINMA EKWONUCHARLOTTELB★4UNR
BARRET LIEBENTRITTNEBRASKAFBUNRUNR
TYLER BUCHNERALABAMAWR★4★4
JOSH LUGGELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
JARRETT PATTERSONELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
TARIQ BRACYELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
JUSTIN ADEMILOLAELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES49%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS62%4 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#12NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
19OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9141COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
711 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST32% BACK32th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG32% BACK32th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR52%52th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST80%80th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE