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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
FBS INDEPENDENTS|MARCUS FREEMAN|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
NOTRE DAME#10 AP 3 FPIIND · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
94FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
74%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
77%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1215 BC / 25
BC RATIO
63%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs10.6-1.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+24.4
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE96
PERFORMANCE96
TALENT90
CONTINUITY74
DEFENSE97
PERFORMANCE97
TALENT87
CONTINUITY77
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AMIAMI#2L 24-27909494+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13HTEXAS A&M#8L 40-41959494+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HPURDUE—W 56-30613434+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AARKANSAS—W 56-13846161+36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HBOISE STATE—W 28-7425353+44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HNC STATE—W 36-7686060+37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18HUSC#20W 34-24888989+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1ABOSTON COLLEGE—W 25-10502929+68BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HNAVY#23W 49-1016666+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15APITTSBURGH—W 37-15607474+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HSYRACUSE—W 70-7761616+81BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ASTANFORD—W 49-20671818+79BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB62TAL97PERF62RET8ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 9 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
CJ CARRQB SORET
★4—8292%+37—
3
KENNY MINCHEYQB SERET
★4★4438%+40HELD
12
BLAKE HEBERTQB FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
16
ANTHONY REZACQB SORET
★3—00%——
▾RB77TAL94PERF77RET95ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 16 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
JEREMIYAH LOVERB JURET
★4—9658%+33—
24
JADARIAN PRICERB JURET
★4—8130%+26—
22
ANEYAS WILLIAMSRB JURET
★4—506%+36—
2
NOLAN JAMES JR.RB FRTRUE FR
★4—363%-59—
6
GI'BRAN PAYNERB SERET
★4★3242%-15FELL
26
JAKE TAFELSKIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
KEDREN YOUNGRB SORET
★4—00%+31—
25
DYLAN DEVEZINRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE82TAL81PERF81RET57ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 32 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
ELI RARIDONTE SERET
★4—9564%+22—
0
MALACHI FIELDSWR SEPORTAL · VIRGINIA
★3★48529%+24ROSE
6
JORDAN FAISONWR SERET
UNR—8429%+32—
2
WILL PAULINGWR SEPORTAL · WISCONSIN
★3★37419%+22HELD
7
TY WASHINGTONTE SEPORTAL · ARKANSAS
★3★36923%+47HELD
1
JADEN GREATHOUSEWR JURET
★4—536%+17—
8
KK SMITHWR JURET
★3★3515%+23HELD
85
JACK LARSENTE SORET
★3—497%——
14
MICAH GILBERTWR SORET
★4—485%+10—
88
JAMES FLANIGANTE FRTRUE FR
★4—445%——
17
ELIJAH BURRESSWR FRTRUE FR
★4—342%——
19
LOGAN SALDATEWR SORET
★4—292%——
5
CAM WILLIAMSWR SORET
★4—282%——
33
MATT JEFFERYWR SORET
UNR—140%——
87
COOPER FLANAGANTE JURET
★4—91%-31—
8
JEROME BETTIS JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★3—60%——
87
LEO SCHEIDLERWR SERET
UNR—60%——
86
ALEX WHITMANWR JURET
UNR—60%——
32
JUSTIN FISHERTE SERET
★4—40%——
10
TYLER BUCHNERWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
9
PRESTON ZINTERTE JURET
★3★300%—HELD
42
HENRY GARRITYTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
KEVIN BAUMANTE SERET
★4—00%——
80
XAVIER SOUTHALLWR SORET
UNR—00%——
81
SCRAP RICHARDSONWR SONO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▸OL63TAL91PERF63RET95n=7 · 3 METRICS · 21 OBS
▸DL70TAL81PERF70RET79n=9 · 7 METRICS · 50 OBS
▸LB62TAL96PERF62RET93n=7 · 11 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸DB63TAL88PERF63RET68n=10 · 6 METRICS · 55 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILL BLACKHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
MADDEN FARAIMOHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
CHRISTOPHER BURGESS JR.HS RECRUITDL★4UNR
DALLAS GOLDENHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JAMES FLANIGANHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
JADON BLAIRHS RECRUITS★4UNR
MARK ZACKERY IVHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
OWEN STREBIGHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ANTHONY SACCAHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
NOLAN JAMES JR.HS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN2 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALACHI FIELDSVIRGINIAWR★3★4
DEVONTA SMITHALABAMAS★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PAT COOGANINDIANAOL★3★4
ROCCO SPINDLERNEBRASKAOL★4★4
SAM PENDLETONTENNESSEEOL★4★4
JAYDEN THOMASVIRGINIAWR★4★3
JADEN MICKEYBOISE STATEDB★4★3
KENNEDY URLACHERUSCS★3★3
STEVE ANGELISYRACUSEQB★4★3
DEION COLZIEMIAMI (OH)WR★4★3
TY CHANUCONNOL★4★3
XAVIER WATTSNFL DRAFT R3S★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES38%4 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS52%10 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#12NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
15OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9070COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
814 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST38% BACK38th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG38% BACK38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR95%95th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR8%8th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST68%68th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE