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HOME›TEAMS›OHIO STATE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
BIG TEN|RYAN DAY|—RECORD12-2|CONF—
OHIO STATE#5 AP 2 FPIB1G · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
73%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
88%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#421 BC / 28
BC RATIO
74%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs12.6-0.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+26.8
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 12.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE93
PERFORMANCE93
TALENT94
CONTINUITY73
DEFENSE99
PERFORMANCE99
TALENT94
CONTINUITY88
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HTEXAS#12W 14-7988888+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 6HGRAMBLING—W 70-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 13HOHIO—W 37-993939+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AWASHINGTON—W 24-6749191+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HMINNESOTA—W 42-3714949+50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11AILLINOIS—W 34-16548383+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18AWISCONSIN—W 34-0803838+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 1HPENN STATE—W 38-14939090+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8APURDUE—W 34-10613434+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HUCLA—W 48-10822828+71BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HRUTGERS—W 42-9624747+52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29AMICHIGAN#21W 27-9938282+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 6HINDIANA#1L 10-1348100100-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 31HMIAMI#2L 14-24909494+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB85TAL99PERF85RET96ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JULIAN SAYINQB JURET
★5★59196%+27HELD
3
LINCOLN KIENHOLZQB JURET
★4★3314%-13FELL
9
TAVIEN ST. CLAIRQB SONO SNAPS
★5—50%——
16
MASON MAGGSQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
ELI BRICKHANDLERQB SEPORTAL · HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
★3★300%—HELD
14
TREY ROBINETTEQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
26
KOLTON STOVERQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB66TAL89PERF66RET19ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 19 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
BO JACKSONRB SONO SNAPS
★4—9241%+27—
12
CJ DONALDSONRB SEPORTAL · WEST VIRGINIA
★3★38328%+29HELD
1
JAMES PEOPLESRB JURET
★4★37318%-10FELL
32
ISAIAH WESTRB SONO SNAPS
★3—6312%+6—
24
SAM DIXONRB SORET
★3★390%+34HELD
21
ANTHONY ROGERSRB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
28
STANLEY JACKSON JR.RB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE72TAL94PERF72RET75ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
JEREMIAH SMITHWR JURET
★5★39434%+19FELL
89
WILL KACMAREKTE SERET
UNR★39033%+17EMERGED
86
MAX KLARETE JUPORTAL · PURDUE
★3★49032%+33ROSE
17
CARNELL TATEWR JURET
★4—8526%+28—
0
BRANDON INNISSWR SERET
★5—8224%-25—
85
BENNETT CHRISTIANTE SERET
★4—7317%-11—
45
JELANI THURMANTE JURET
★4★36110%+23FELL
83
NATE ROBERTSTE SONO SNAPS
★4—609%——
1
BRYSON RODGERSWR JURET
★4★3587%-49FELL
3
MYLAN GRAHAMWR SORET
★5★4545%-10FELL
82
DAVID ADOLPHWR SERET
UNR—433%——
0
QUINCY PORTERWR SONO SNAPS
★5★4322%—FELL
7
PHILLIP BELLWR SONO SNAPS
★4—151%——
87
BRODY LENNONTE SONO SNAPS
★4—141%——
84
DORIAN WILLIAMSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
81
DAMARION WITTENWR JURET
★4★300%—FELL
80
SHAWN LODGEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
MAXENCE LEBLANCTE JURET
★4—00%——
8
DE'ZIE JONESWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
23
NOLAN BAUDOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
34
BRENNEN SCHRAMMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
BODPEGN MILLERWR FRTRUE FR
★4★300%—FELL
30
PRESTON WOLFEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL73TAL93PERF73RET74n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL81TAL94PERF81RET87n=11 · 8 METRICS · 51 OBS
▸LB85TAL95PERF85RET91n=4 · 11 METRICS · 27 OBS
▸DB73TAL94PERF73RET87n=6 · 8 METRICS · 40 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAVIEN ST. CLAIRHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
DEVIN SANCHEZHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
QUINCY PORTERHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
RILEY PETTIJOHNHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
FAHEEM DELANEHS RECRUITS★4UNR
CARTER LOWEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ZION GRADYHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
ANTHONY ROGERSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
TJ ALFORDHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
BO JACKSONHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN4 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MAX KLAREPURDUETE★3★4
BEAU ATKINSONNORTH CAROLINAEDGE★4★4
PHILLIP DANIELSMINNESOTAOT★3★4
ETHAN ONIANWARICEOT★3★4
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT31 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ZEN MICHALSKIINDIANAOL★4★3
MITCHELL MELTONVIRGINIADE★4★3
HERO KANUTEXASDL★4★3
PATRICK GURDCINCINNATITEUNR★3
GABE POWERSKANSAS STATELB★4★3
DEVIN BROWNCALIFORNIAQB★4★4
JAYDEN BALLARDWISCONSINWR★4★3
KOJO ANTWICOLORADO STATEWR★4★3
CALVIN SIMPSON-HUNTBAYLORCB★4★3
LATHAN RANSOMNFL DRAFT R4S★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES88%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS50%8 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#4NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
21OF 28 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9186COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1115 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST20% BACK20th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG20% BACK20th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR74%74th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST87%87th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE