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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OKLAHOMA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SEC|LINCOLN RILEY|—RECORD12-1|CONF—
OKLAHOMA#4 AP 5 FPISEC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#912 BC / 25
BC RATIO
59%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs9.5-3.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+17.1
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 63-14523838+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HUCLA—W 49-21874242+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AIOWA STATE—W 37-27637171+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HARMY#19W 28-2173636+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HBAYLOR—W 66-33774949+49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HTEXAS#9L 45-48947676+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ATCU—W 52-27786767+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HKANSAS STATE—W 51-14554141+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ATEXAS TECH—W 51-46587272+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HOKLAHOMA STATE—W 48-47748484+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HKANSAS—W 55-40482323+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AWEST VIRGINIA#20W 59-56748282+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 1HTEXAS#9W 39-27947676+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET5NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
TANNER MORDECAIQB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
1
KYLER MURRAYQB JURET
UNR—00%——
AUSTIN KENDALLQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
3
CONNOR MCGINNISQB SERET
UNR—00%——
87
SPENCER JONESQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
TANNER SCHAFERQB SERET
★2—00%——
14
REECE CLARKQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET81NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
T.J. PLEDGERRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
45
CARSON MEIERFB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
RODNEY ANDERSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
21
MARCELIAS SUTTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
KENNEDY BROOKSRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
8
TREY SERMONRB SERET
★4—00%——
41
COBY TILLMANFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
MICHAEL ANDERSONRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
ISAIAH HARRISRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
RHAMONDRE STEVENSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
JOE CASTIGLIONE, JR.FB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
DRAKE STOOPSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
BRAYDEN WILLISTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
27
JEREMIAH HALLTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
GRANT CALCATERRATE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
5
A.D. MILLERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
LEE MORRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
RYAN JONESTE SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
2
CEEDEE LAMBWR JURET
★4—00%——
83
NICK BASQUINEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
MYLES TEASEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
28
REGGIE TURNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
MARQUISE BROWNWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
MYKEL JONESWR SERET
★4—00%——
13
JAYLON ROBINSONWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
11
CHARLESTON RAMBOWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
85
SAM IHEKEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
CHASE NEVELWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JAQUAYLN CRAWFORDWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
81
DANE SALTARELLITE JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
85
DEVIN STATONWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
COLT ATKINSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
JACKSON WEBBWR JURET
UNR—00%——
86
KARSTEN MATHISWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
ANDREW MAGEEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BREY WALKERHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
BRENDAN RADLEY-HILESHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
RONNIE PERKINSHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
MICHAEL THOMPSONHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
T.J. PLEDGERHS RECRUITAPB★4UNR
RON TATUMHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
JALEN REDMONDHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
JAQUAYLN CRAWFORDHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DASHAUN WHITEHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
NIK BONITTOHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ABDUL ADAMSSYRACUSERB★4UNR
BAKER MAYFIELDNFL DRAFT R1QBUNR—
MARK ANDREWSNFL DRAFT R3TEUNR—
DU'VONTA LAMPKINNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
EMMANUEL BEALNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
D.J. WARDNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
OGBONNIA OKORONKWONOT LISTEDDEUNR—
MATT ROMARNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
JORDAN SMALLWOODNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JEFF BADETNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#9NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
12OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8982COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR5%5th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE