SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OKLAHOMA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|LINCOLN RILEY|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
OKLAHOMA#10 AP 5 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-9IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1113 BC / 16
BC RATIO
63%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs8.8-3.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD6-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+13.2
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HTULANE—W 40-35373232+59BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HWESTERN CAROLINA—W 76-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18HNEBRASKA—W 23-16827373+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HWEST VIRGINIA—W 16-13604545+46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AKANSAS STATE—W 37-31528585+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ATEXAS—W 55-48936464+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HTCU—W 52-31753838+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AKANSAS—W 35-234855+86BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HTEXAS TECH—W 52-21587070+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ABAYLOR#5L 14-27718989+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HIOWA STATE—W 28-21618686+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AOKLAHOMA STATE#7L 33-376191910BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET88NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
MICAH BOWENSQB SOPORTAL · PENN STATE
★3★300%—HELD
13
CALEB WILLIAMSQB JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
10
RALPH RUCKER IVQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
SPENCER RATTLERQB SERET
★5—00%——
87
SPENCER JONESQB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
TANNER SCHAFERQB SERET
★2—00%——
7
BEN HARRISQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET14NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
MARCUS MAJORRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
ERIC GRAYRB SEPORTAL · TENNESSEE
★4★400%—HELD
25
JADEN KNOWLESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
KENNEDY BROOKSRB JURET
★4—00%——
23
TODD HUDSONRB JURET
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
DRAKE STOOPSWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
BRAYDEN WILLISTE SERET
★3—00%——
81
AUSTIN STOGNERTE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
1
THEO WEASE JR.WR SERET
★5—00%——
1
JALIL FAROOQWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
4
MARIO WILLIAMSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
16
BRIAN DARBYWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
19
TREVON WESTWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
17
MARVIN MIMSWR JURET
★4—00%——
27
JEREMIAH HALLTE JURET
★3—00%——
2
CODY JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
9
JADON HASELWOODWR JURET
★5—00%——
82
DAMON SMITHWR JURET
★3★200%—FELL
8
MIKE WOODSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%——
31
JACKSON SUMLINTE JURET
UNR—00%——
84
CARSTEN GROOSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
84
DAVION CURTISWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
DEVIN STATONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
COLT ATKINSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
MARCELLUS CRUTCHFIELDWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
MAJOR MELSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
MARIO WILLIAMSWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
80
KAYHON RUSSELLTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
ADRIAN SCOTTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CALEB WILLIAMSHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
CLAYTON SMITHHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
MARIO WILLIAMSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BILLY BOWMANHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
SAVION BYRDHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
KELVIN GILLIAM JR.HS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
CODY JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JALIL FAROOQHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
ETHAN DOWNSHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
LATRELL MCCUTCHIN SR.HS RECRUITCB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN9 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ERIC GRAYTENNESSEERB★4★4
WANYA MORRISTENNESSEEOT★3★4
KEY LAWRENCETENNESSEES★4★4
KEVONTRE BRADFORDLSURBUNR★3
MIKE WOODSARKANSASWRUNR★3
BIG KAT BRYANTUCFEDGE★4★3
D.J. MATTHEWS JR.FLORIDA STATEWR★4★3
ROBERT CONGELARIZONAOGUNR★3
MICAH BOWENSPENN STATEDUAL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ROBERT BARNESCOLORADOLB★4★3
TANNER MORDECAISMUQB★4★4
T.J. PLEDGERUTAHRB★4★3
THEO HOWARDUTAHWR★4★3
JON-MICHAEL TERRYTULSALB★3★3
CHANDLER MORRISTCUQB★4★3
BRENDAN RADLEY-HILESWASHINGTONDB★4★3
CHARLESTON RAMBOMIAMIWR★4★3
RONNIE PERKINSNFL DRAFT R3DE★4—
TRE BROWNNFL DRAFT R4CB★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#11NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
13OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9316COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1019 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST59% BACK59th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG59% BACK59th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR88%88th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE